How did Oxford, MS vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Oxford, MS voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+21.6. Kamala D Harris received 11,245 votes and Donald Trump received 17,568 out of 29,287 total votes cast, a 9.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Oxford, MS's political history?

Oxford, MS has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The largest single-election swing was 84.8 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Oxford, MS?

Oxford, MS has a population of 243,785 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 67.8% non-Hispanic white, 2.1% Hispanic, 27.1% Black. About 34% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $43,411.

Which places are most similar to Oxford, MS?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Oxford, MS are Auburn-Opelika, AL, Starkville, MS, Troy, AL. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Oxford, MS

A university town that swings markedly left in a deep-red state

Home to the University of Mississippi, Oxford's Lafayette County metro posted a D+19.3 margin in 2024, a striking outlier in Mississippi's otherwise heavily Republican electoral map driven by a large student and academic population.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 37060

Population244K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

31.1y▼ 7.8

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

34.1%▼ 0.9

White67.8%
Black27.1%
Hispanic2.1%
Two or more1.9%
Asian1.6%
Other0.7%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Oxford, MSBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Auburn-Opelika, AL, Starkville, MS, and Troy, AL.

8 visible matches

Auburn-Opelika, AL

Educated rural competitive

R+19.5

Similarity score96%

Starkville, MS

Educated rural competitive

Educated rural competitive

Educated rural competitive

R+25.4

Similarity score91%

Arkadelphia, AR

Educated rural competitive

R+20.5

Similarity score90%

Moscow, ID

Educated rural competitive

R+8.0

Similarity score89%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Oxford, MS

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Lafayette	58K	R+21.8	8,956	14,050	23,409	20.0%
Lafayette	52K	R+21.8	8,956	14,050	23,409	20.0%
Lafayette	43K	R+21.8	8,956	14,050	23,409	20.0%
Lafayette	39K	R+21.8	8,956	14,050	23,409	20.0%
Yalobusha	14K	R+20.9	2,289	3,518	5,878	5.0%
Yalobusha	13K	R+20.9	2,289	3,518	5,878	5.0%
Yalobusha	12K	R+20.9	2,289	3,518	5,878	5.0%
Yalobusha	12K	R+20.9	2,289	3,518	5,878	5.0%

8 countiesTotal votes: 117,148

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Oxford, MS's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Oxford, MS metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Oxford, MSCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 67.8%Black 27.1%Hispanic 2.1%Asian 1.6%Multiracial 1.3%

Group	Oxford, MS	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	67.8%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(7)	27.1%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	2.1%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	1.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.3%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

47.9%(33.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -61.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	28.6%	59.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.2%	17.1%	—	—
Black Protestant	8.0%	16.7%	—	—
Catholic	1.5%	3.2%	—	—
Other	1.5%	3.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	1.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	52.1%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Oxford, MS metro area? 243,785 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Oxford, MS vs National244K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

244K

local

244KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.07%

local

0.07%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.3%

local

40.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$43,411

local

$43,411National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.6%

local

22.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

34.1%

local

34.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

64.0%

local

64.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

31.1 yrs

local

31.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.8%

local

22.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.4%

local

10.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.6%

local

2.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.2%

local

4.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.8%

local

95.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Oxford, MS

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

52.0%

vs Previous

-1.3pp

Eligible Non-Voters

27K · 48.0%

Citizen VAP

56,364

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Oxford, MS split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (57/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+21.6	R+26.4	4.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Oxford, MS sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Mississippi(State)

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