University town and border economy tilt Pima County reliably blue
Tucson anchors Pima County, one of Arizona's most consistently Democratic metros, driven by a large university population, significant Latino electorate, and a border-adjacent economy that shapes voters' priorities on trade and immigration policy.
| Group | Tucson, AZ | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 55.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 33.9% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 3.4% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 3.2% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.6% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.6% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +17.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 48.7% | — | — | |
| 10.3% | 26.8% | — | — | |
| 6.2% | 16.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.8% | 7.3% | — | — |
| 2.3% | 6.1% | — | — | |
| 0.6% | 1.6% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 61.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Tucson, AZ metro area? 3,897,787 residents across 4 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+15.1 | D+20.9 | 5.8pp |