How did Victoria, TX vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Victoria, TX voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+44.3. Kamala D Harris received 10,776 votes and Donald Trump received 28,188 out of 39,302 total votes cast, a 4.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Victoria, TX's political history?

Victoria, TX has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 56.1 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Victoria, TX?

Victoria, TX has a population of 381,234 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 48.6% non-Hispanic white, 43.1% Hispanic, 6.1% Black. About 18% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $52,928.

Which places are most similar to Victoria, TX?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Victoria, TX are San Angelo, TX, Hereford, TX, Fort Morgan, CO. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Victoria, TX

One of the Gulf Coast's most reliably right-leaning metro areas

Victoria's metro, anchored by its industrial port economy and a majority-Hispanic population that trends more conservative than national averages suggest, delivered a 44-point Republican margin in 2024 — among the widest of any Texas metro.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 47020

Population381K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36.1y▼ 2.8

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

17.9%▼ 17.1

White48.6%
Hispanic43.1%
Other10.0%
Two or more9.1%
Black6.1%
Asian1.0%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Victoria, TXBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like San Angelo, TX, Hereford, TX, and Fort Morgan, CO.

8 visible matches

Constituent Geography

Counties in Victoria, TX

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Victoria	91K	R+42.5	9,998	25,010	35,315	22.5%
Victoria	91K	R+42.5	9,998	25,010	35,315	22.5%
Victoria	86K	R+42.5	9,998	25,010	35,315	22.5%
Victoria	84K	R+42.5	9,998	25,010	35,315	22.5%
Goliad	7K	R+60.2	778	3,178	3,987	2.5%
Goliad	7K	R+60.2	778	3,178	3,987	2.5%
Goliad	7K	R+60.2	778	3,178	3,987	2.5%
Goliad	7K	R+60.2	778	3,178	3,987	2.5%

8 countiesTotal votes: 157,208

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Victoria, TX's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Victoria, TX metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Victoria, TXCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 48.6%Hispanic 43.1%Black 6.1%Asian 1.0%Multiracial 0.9%

Group	Victoria, TX	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	48.6%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(14)	43.1%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(7)	6.1%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	1.0%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	0.9%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

54.9%(54.1K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	25.4%	46.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	22.4%	40.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.1%	7.4%	—	—
Other	1.7%	3.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.3%	2.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.5%	0.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	45.1%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Victoria, TX metro area? 381,234 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Victoria, TX vs National381K residents

18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

381K

local

381KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.11%

local

0.11%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.0%

local

38.0%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$52,928

local

$52,928National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.8%

local

14.8%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.9%

local

17.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.5%

local

67.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.1 yrs

local

36.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.0%

local

12.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.7%

local

11.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.7%

local

5.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

24.9%

local

24.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.1%

local

75.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Victoria, TX

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

55.7%

vs Previous

+1.5pp

Eligible Non-Voters

31K · 44.3%

Citizen VAP

70,500

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Victoria, TX split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (77/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+44.3	R+41.2	3.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 5.6pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Victoria, TX sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Texas(State)

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