A mid-South metro where a once-reliable partisan lean has nearly vanished
Winchester's Franklin County core sits in the Cumberland Plateau foothills, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+2.9 marks a striking compression from earlier cycles, reflecting demographic and economic shifts reshaping small Tennessee metros.
| Group | Winchester, TN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 4.3% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 2.7% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -70.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.7% | 69.8% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 15.8% | — | — | |
| 3.7% | 7.6% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 3.4% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 3.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 2.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 51.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Winchester, TN metro area? 165,629 residents across 4 counties.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+53.2 | R+51.6 | 1.6pp |