Alaska State House District 38
Leans Democratic — shifted 18.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 18K residents
Alaska State House District 38 is a state house district that has a population of 17,853. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+11.8. Akashic Edge tracks 6 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.8% | 39.0% | D+11.8 | R+18.9 |
| 2020* | 62.2% | 31.5% | D+30.7 | D+2.3 |
| 2020* | 61.0% | 32.6% | D+28.4 | R+4.9 |
| 2016* | 55.5% | 22.1% | D+33.4 | D+47.4 |
| 2012* | 40.7% | 54.8% | R+14.1 | R+27.3 |
| 2008* | 54.6% | 41.3% | D+13.3 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines AK-HD-38?
AK-HD-38 has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- Swung 18.9 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2012
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 47.4 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | AK-HD-38 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
Native American / Alaska Native | 84.6% | 13.5% | 0.9% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 8.2% | 57.7% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
Asian | 1.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 1.0% | 7.3% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 0.5% | 3.0% | 12.2% |
Who lives in Alaska State House District 38? 17,853 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in AK-HD-38
How competitive is AK-HD-38?
Other Alaska State House Districts
39 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| AK-HD-04 | D+37.4 |
| AK-HD-17 | D+33.5 |
| AK-HD-14 | D+21.3 |
| AK-HD-19 | D+17.0 |
| AK-HD-03 | D+14.7 |
| AK-HD-16 | D+14.6 |
| AK-HD-20 | D+12.2 |
| AK-HD-39 | D+11.7 |
| AK-HD-21 | D+8.0 |
| AK-HD-35 | D+4.9 |
| AK-HD-09 | D+2.3 |
| AK-HD-12 | D+1.3 |
| AK-HD-13 | D+1.2 |
| AK-HD-22 | D+1.2 |
| AK-HD-02 | D+0.4 |
| AK-HD-11 | R+2.4 |
| AK-HD-15 | R+2.5 |
| AK-HD-10 | R+3.3 |
| AK-HD-31 | R+3.4 |
| AK-HD-37 | R+6.6 |
| AK-HD-40 | R+9.9 |
| AK-HD-05 | R+12.8 |
| AK-HD-18 | R+15.7 |
| AK-HD-06 | R+16.1 |
| AK-HD-01 | R+17.4 |