How did AR-HD-49, Arkansas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

AR-HD-49, Arkansas voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+9.9. Kamala D Harris received 2,632 votes and Donald Trump received 2,148 out of 4,911 total votes cast, a 28.0-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is AR-HD-49, Arkansas's political history?

AR-HD-49, Arkansas has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 4 and Republicans 1 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 28.0 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of AR-HD-49, Arkansas?

AR-HD-49, Arkansas has a population of 29,484 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 34.8% non-Hispanic white, 38.6% Hispanic, 12.7% Black.

Which places are most similar to AR-HD-49, Arkansas?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to AR-HD-49, Arkansas are Pennsylvania State House District 129, Pennsylvania State House District 134, Virginia House of Delegates District 20. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Arkansas State House District 49

Arkansas · Latest: 2024↑ D+28.0 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 28.0pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 29K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Pennsylvania State House District 129PA

Urban Competitive

D+12.9

Similarity score96%

Pennsylvania State House District 134PA

Diverse urban democratic

D+12.9

Similarity score95%

Virginia House of Delegates District 20VA

Diverse urban democratic

D+13.7

Similarity score93%

Pennsylvania State House District 127PA

Diverse urban democratic

D+20.8

Similarity score92%

Illinois State House District 50IL

Diverse urban democratic

D+27.5

Similarity score92%

Georgia State House District 29GA

Diverse urban democratic

R+18.6

Similarity score91%

Michigan State House District 83MI

Urban Democratic 2

D+8.5

Similarity score91%

Nevada State House District 12NV

Diverse urban democratic

D+0.9

Similarity score91%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore AR-HD-49's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Arkansas State House District 49 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

AR-HD-49Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 38.6%White (Non-Hispanic) 34.8%Black 12.7%Asian 6.6%Multiracial 4.9%Native American 2.2%

Group	AR-HD-49	State	National
Hispanic / Latino	38.6%	9.0%	19.3%
White (Non-Hispanic)	34.8%	67.4%	57.4%
Black / African American	12.7%	14.7%	12.2%
Asian	6.6%	1.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	4.9%	6.3%	4.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	2.2%	0.6%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Arkansas State House District 49? 29,484 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

AR-HD-49 vs Arkansas vs National29K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

29K

local

29KState 3.0MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.6%

local

72.6%State 74.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $61,888National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 25.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 66.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 38.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.6%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 5.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 8.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 91.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in AR-HD-49

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

22.9%

vs Previous

-55.1pp

Voting-Age Pop

21,400

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is AR-HD-49?

TossupAvg margin: D+0.5 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+5.5

2012

D+12.4

2016

D+9.7

2020

R+18.1

2024

D+9.9

Elasticity

30.5pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+3.9

Other Arkansas State House Districts

99 total

Name	Margin ↓
AR-HD-76	D+73.7
AR-HD-79	D+62.8
AR-HD-77	D+58.0
AR-HD-80	D+53.2
AR-HD-64	D+51.3
AR-HD-74	D+47.2
AR-HD-65	D+47.2
AR-HD-72	D+44.7
AR-HD-21	D+44.3
AR-HD-66	D+33.3
AR-HD-63	D+25.3
AR-HD-20	D+22.1
AR-HD-73	D+18.5
AR-HD-75	D+10.8
AR-HD-62	D+2.2
AR-HD-70	D+1.7
AR-HD-09	D+1.2
AR-HD-67	R+0.3
AR-HD-22	R+1.9
AR-HD-71	R+2.6
AR-HD-56	R+4.7
AR-HD-19	R+6.8
AR-HD-35	R+7.9
AR-HD-13	R+9.0
AR-HD-10	R+9.6

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