How did CA-HD-54, California vote in the 2024 presidential election?

CA-HD-54, California voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+43.8. Kamala D Harris received 88,356 votes and Donald Trump received 32,848 out of 126,637 total votes cast, a 6.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is CA-HD-54, California's political history?

CA-HD-54, California has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 21.5 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of CA-HD-54, California?

CA-HD-54, California has a population of 482,524 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 31.3% non-Hispanic white, 29.9% Hispanic, 20.2% Black.

Which places are most similar to CA-HD-54, California?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to CA-HD-54, California are California Assembly District 15, California Assembly District 18, New Jersey General Assembly District 31. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

California Assembly District 54

California · Latest: 2024↓ R+6.5 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 6.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 483K residents

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California Assembly District 54 is a state house district that has a population of 482,524. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+43.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

California Assembly District 54 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	69.8%	25.9%	D+43.8	R+6.5
2020	74.1%	23.7%	D+50.4	R+21.5
2016	83.2%	11.3%	D+71.9	D+1.8
2012	85.0%	15.0%	D+70.0	D+13.8
2008	77.9%	21.7%	D+56.2	—

Political Identity

What defines CA-HD-54?

It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

California Assembly District 15CA

Urban Democratic

D+31.8

Similarity score97%

California Assembly District 18CA

Urban Democratic

D+72.1

Similarity score96%

New Jersey General Assembly District 31NJ

Urban Democratic

D+27.5

Similarity score96%

New York Assembly District 68NY

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+64.1

Similarity score96%

Maryland House of Delegates District 17MD

Urban Democratic

D+54.4

Similarity score96%

New York Assembly District 51NY

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+44.8

Similarity score96%

New York Assembly District 53NY

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+60.4

Similarity score96%

New York Assembly District 71NY

Diverse urban democratic 2

D+67.5

Similarity score95%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore CA-HD-54's political evolution with the Historian

“How has California Assembly District 54 voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 43.8% margin
Highly elastic — margins have ranged 28.0 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

CA-HD-54Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 31.3%Hispanic 29.9%Black 20.2%Asian 13.1%Multiracial 4.0%Native American 1.3%

Group	CA-HD-54	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	31.3%	33.8%	57.4%
Hispanic / Latino	29.9%	40.2%	19.3%
Black / African American	20.2%	5.4%	12.2%
Asian	13.1%	15.5%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	4.0%	3.5%	4.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	1.3%	1.3%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	0.4%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in California Assembly District 54? 482,524 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

CA-HD-54 vs California vs National483K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

483K

local

483KState 39.3MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.14%

local

0.14%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

83.8%

local

83.8%State 75.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $102,676National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 12.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 36.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 55.9%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 37.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 27.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 44.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 55.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in CA-HD-54

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

31.3%

vs Previous

-57.1pp

Voting-Age Pop

404,138

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is CA-HD-54?

Safe DAvg margin: D+55.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+56.2

2012

D+70.0

2016

D+71.9

2020

D+50.4

2024

D+43.8

Elasticity

28.0pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+58.5

Other California State House Districts

79 total

Name	Margin ↓
CA-HD-18	D+72.1
CA-HD-14	D+71.3
CA-HD-17	D+67.3
CA-HD-55	D+62.2
CA-HD-19	D+57.5
CA-HD-61	D+56.8
CA-HD-12	D+55.5
CA-HD-23	D+54.5
CA-HD-52	D+53.6
CA-HD-57	D+52.6
CA-HD-51	D+52.0
CA-HD-21	D+50.6
CA-HD-26	D+45.3
CA-HD-28	D+43.9
CA-HD-65	D+43.5
CA-HD-20	D+40.4
CA-HD-69	D+38.2
CA-HD-16	D+36.5
CA-HD-78	D+36.3
CA-HD-02	D+34.9
CA-HD-06	D+34.0
CA-HD-44	D+32.9
CA-HD-25	D+32.4
CA-HD-15	D+31.8
CA-HD-24	D+30.7

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