How did NY-HD-51, New York vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NY-HD-51, New York voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+44.8. Kamala D Harris received 22,161 votes and Donald Trump received 8,160 out of 31,241 total votes cast, a 17.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NY-HD-51, New York's political history?

NY-HD-51, New York has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 17.7 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of NY-HD-51, New York?

NY-HD-51, New York has a population of 131,056 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 22.7% non-Hispanic white, 44.8% Hispanic, 6.9% Black.

Which places are most similar to NY-HD-51, New York?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to NY-HD-51, New York are New York Assembly District 87, California Assembly District 54, New York Assembly District 80. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

New York Assembly District 51

New York · Latest: 2024↓ R+17.7 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 17.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 131K residents

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Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
D+67.3
Obama
2012
D+75.6
Obama
2016
D+70.3
Clinton
2020
D+62.5
Biden
2024
D+44.8
Harris

Who lives here

Full breakdown

Hispanic44.8%
Asian23.7%
White22.7%

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

New York Assembly District 87NY

Diverse urban democratic

D+46.9

Similarity score98%

California Assembly District 54CA

Diverse urban democratic

D+43.8

Similarity score98%

New York Assembly District 80NY

Diverse urban democratic

D+31.7

Similarity score97%

New Jersey General Assembly District 31NJ

Diverse urban democratic

D+27.5

Similarity score97%

Illinois State House District 24IL

Diverse urban democratic

D+38.7

Similarity score96%

New York Assembly District 54NY

Diverse urban democratic

D+52.4

Similarity score96%

Maryland House of Delegates District 17MD

Urban Democratic

D+54.4

Similarity score96%

Georgia State House District 96GA

Diverse urban democratic

D+26.4

Similarity score96%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NY-HD-51's political evolution with the Historian

“How has New York Assembly District 51 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NY-HD-51Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 44.8%Asian 23.7%White (Non-Hispanic) 22.7%Black 6.9%Native American 2.4%

Group	NY-HD-51	State	National
Hispanic / Latino	44.8%	19.8%	19.3%
Asian	23.7%	9.1%	6.0%
White (Non-Hispanic)	22.7%	52.8%	57.4%
Black / African American	6.9%	14.4%	12.2%
Native American / Alaska Native	2.4%	0.6%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	<0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in New York Assembly District 51? 131,056 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NY-HD-51 vs New York vs National131K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

131K

local

131KState 19.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.9%

local

76.9%State 76.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $89,823National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 14.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 40.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 54.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 22.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 30.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 69.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in NY-HD-51

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

46.0%

vs Previous

-4.3pp

Eligible Non-Voters

37K · 54.0%

Citizen VAP

67,877

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is NY-HD-51?

Safe DAvg margin: D+59.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+67.3

2012

D+75.6

2016

D+70.3

2020

D+62.5

2024

D+44.8

Elasticity

30.7pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+64.1

Contained geographies

Counties in NY-HD-51

Counties that overlap NY-HD-51.

Counties

(1)

Kings100%

Other New York State House Districts

149 total

Name	Margin ↓
NY-HD-58	D+84.9
NY-HD-52	D+82.0
NY-HD-57	D+81.4
NY-HD-55	D+80.5
NY-HD-56	D+80.5
NY-HD-70	D+77.2
NY-HD-69	D+76.3
NY-HD-60	D+75.0
NY-HD-83	D+74.2
NY-HD-141	D+71.3
NY-HD-66	D+70.3
NY-HD-67	D+69.7
NY-HD-29	D+67.7
NY-HD-71	D+67.5
NY-HD-43	D+66.8
NY-HD-75	D+65.3
NY-HD-42	D+64.2
NY-HD-68	D+64.1
NY-HD-32	D+64.0
NY-HD-74	D+63.8
NY-HD-44	D+62.8
NY-HD-18	D+61.7
NY-HD-53	D+60.4
NY-HD-76	D+58.6
NY-HD-31	D+56.1

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