Florida State House District 38
Competitive — shifted 21.7pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 191K residents
Florida State House District 38 is a state house district that has a population of 190,670. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+1.6. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.0% | 48.4% | D+1.6 | D+21.7 |
| 2020 | 39.4% | 59.5% | R+20.1 | R+22.6 |
| 2016 | 48.4% | 45.8% | D+2.5 | D+5.1 |
| 2012 | 48.7% | 51.3% | R+2.6 | R+2.1 |
| 2008 | 49.3% | 49.8% | R+0.5 | — |
What defines FL-HD-38?
FL-HD-38 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
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Key Insights
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.5 points — razor-thin
- Swung 21.7 points toward Democratic between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2020
Who Lives Here
| Group | FL-HD-38 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 61.8% | 50.4% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 20.6% | 27.4% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 9.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
Asian | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Florida State House District 38? 190,670 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in FL-HD-38
How competitive is FL-HD-38?
Other Florida State House Districts
119 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| FL-HD-97 | D+52.1 |
| FL-HD-108 | D+46.6 |
| FL-HD-99 | D+44.6 |
| FL-HD-08 | D+42.8 |
| FL-HD-41 | D+42.1 |
| FL-HD-63 | D+41.1 |
| FL-HD-88 | D+37.1 |
| FL-HD-40 | D+35.2 |
| FL-HD-107 | D+34.5 |
| FL-HD-62 | D+33.9 |
| FL-HD-109 | D+30.1 |
| FL-HD-98 | D+29.7 |
| FL-HD-104 | D+28.1 |
| FL-HD-105 | D+27.1 |
| FL-HD-14 | D+25.5 |
| FL-HD-13 | D+23.8 |
| FL-HD-21 | D+21.4 |
| FL-HD-96 | D+18.9 |
| FL-HD-42 | D+15.0 |
| FL-HD-46 | D+12.2 |
| FL-HD-95 | D+12.1 |
| FL-HD-44 | D+10.8 |
| FL-HD-43 | D+10.8 |
| FL-HD-90 | D+10.4 |
| FL-HD-67 | D+10.3 |