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Minnesota State House District 51A

Minnesota State House District 51A

Minnesota · Latest: 2024↑ D+2.6 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — 43K residents

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Minnesota State House District 51A is a state house district that has a population of 42,586. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+48.9. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Minnesota State House District 51A Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202473.2%24.3%D+48.9D+2.6
2020*71.9%25.6%D+46.3D+5.8
2016*65.7%25.1%D+40.6D+2.7
2012*68.9%31.1%D+37.9D+4.3
2008*65.9%32.3%D+33.6—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines MN-HD-51A?

MN-HD-51A has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 11pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MN-HD-51A's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 48.9% margin
  • Shifted 11.1 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
MN-HD-51ACensus ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 59.0%Hispanic 18.0%Black 10.5%Asian 6.1%Multiracial 4.8%Native American 1.5%
GroupMN-HD-51AStateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
59.0%75.9%57.4%
Hispanic / Latino
18.0%6.4%19.3%
Black / African American
10.5%7.0%12.2%
Asian
6.1%5.1%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
4.8%4.7%4.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
1.5%0.9%0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.1%<0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Minnesota State House District 51A? 42,586 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
MN-HD-51A vs Minnesota vs National43K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
43K
local
43KState 5.7MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.01%
local
0.01%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
80.0%
local
80.0%State 74.8%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $90,564National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 9.3%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.4%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 72.2%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.1%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.3%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 8.7%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 12.4%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 87.6%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in MN-HD-51A

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
65.2%
vs Previous
-78.9pp
Voting-Age Pop
34,062
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is MN-HD-51A?

Safe DAvg margin: D+45.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+33.6
2012
D+37.9
2016
D+40.6
2020
D+46.3
2024
D+48.9
Elasticity
15.4pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+41.5

Other Minnesota State House Districts

133 total
NameMargin ↓
MN-HD-61BD+79.6
MN-HD-63AD+78.5
MN-HD-62BD+76.5
MN-HD-62AD+75.3
MN-HD-63BD+75.2
MN-HD-61AD+74.4
MN-HD-64AD+70.9
MN-HD-60AD+69.7
MN-HD-59BD+68.5
MN-HD-60BD+65.8
MN-HD-66AD+65.5
MN-HD-64BD+64.1
MN-HD-59AD+63.5
MN-HD-65AD+55.7
MN-HD-65BD+53.5
MN-HD-46AD+53.2
MN-HD-43BD+51.9
MN-HD-66BD+47.9
MN-HD-46BD+44.0
MN-HD-38BD+43.9
MN-HD-08BD+42.3
MN-HD-39BD+41.6
MN-HD-50AD+40.0
MN-HD-67BD+39.9
MN-HD-40BD+38.6
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