Missouri State House District 15
Leans Democratic — shifted 6.8pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 39K residents
Missouri State House District 15 is a state house district that has a population of 39,299. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+7.1. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.7% | 45.6% | D+7.1 | D+6.8 |
| 2020 | 49.1% | 48.8% | D+0.3 | D+2.4 |
| 2016 | 46.2% | 48.2% | R+2.1 | R+1.5 |
| 2012 | 49.7% | 50.3% | R+0.6 | R+5.4 |
| 2008 | 51.7% | 46.9% | D+4.8 | — |
What defines MO-HD-15?
MO-HD-15 has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (3D, 2R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
- Turnout decreased by 127.1 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | MO-HD-15 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 70.4% | 76.3% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% |
Hispanic / Latino | 9.3% | 5.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
Asian | 2.5% | 2.1% | 6.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Who lives in Missouri State House District 15? 39,299 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in MO-HD-15
How competitive is MO-HD-15?
Other Missouri State House Districts
162 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| MO-HD-85 | D+83.8 |
| MO-HD-79 | D+79.2 |
| MO-HD-77 | D+78.6 |
| MO-HD-76 | D+78.4 |
| MO-HD-78 | D+74.6 |
| MO-HD-66 | D+74.2 |
| MO-HD-84 | D+73.1 |
| MO-HD-27 | D+71.9 |
| MO-HD-67 | D+70.2 |
| MO-HD-24 | D+68.0 |
| MO-HD-23 | D+67.6 |
| MO-HD-74 | D+66.3 |
| MO-HD-80 | D+65.8 |
| MO-HD-86 | D+65.8 |
| MO-HD-26 | D+63.4 |
| MO-HD-73 | D+61.4 |
| MO-HD-25 | D+56.1 |
| MO-HD-75 | D+50.9 |
| MO-HD-68 | D+49.0 |
| MO-HD-22 | D+48.6 |
| MO-HD-19 | D+45.9 |
| MO-HD-45 | D+44.8 |
| MO-HD-81 | D+44.1 |
| MO-HD-91 | D+42.2 |
| MO-HD-82 | D+41.6 |