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Mississippi State House District 51

Mississippi State House District 51

Mississippi · Latest: 2024↑ D+11.5 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 11.5pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 20K residents

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Mississippi State House District 51 is a state house district that has a population of 20,298. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+48.9. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Mississippi State House District 51 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202474.0%25.1%D+48.9D+11.5
202068.1%30.6%D+37.4R+14.2
201675.5%23.8%D+51.7R+6.4
201279.0%21.0%D+58.0D+8.1
200874.3%24.3%D+49.9—
Political Identity

What defines MS-HD-51?

It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MS-HD-51's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 48.9% margin
  • Swung 11.5 points toward Democratic between 2020 and 2024
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
MS-HD-51Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
Black 80.0%White (Non-Hispanic) 16.9%Multiracial 1.6%Hispanic 1.1%
GroupMS-HD-51StateNational
Black / African American
80.0%36.4%12.2%
White (Non-Hispanic)
16.9%55.2%57.4%
Multiracial / Other
1.6%3.1%4.0%
Hispanic / Latino
1.1%3.7%19.3%
Asian
0.3%1.0%6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.1%0.5%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Mississippi State House District 51? 20,298 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
MS-HD-51 vs Mississippi vs National20K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
20K
local
20KState 2.9MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.01%
local
0.01%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
73.5%
local
73.5%State 73.7%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $57,627National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 19.0%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 25.3%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 70.0%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 38.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 16.0%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.2%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 2.4%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 4.3%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 95.7%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in MS-HD-51

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
60.8%
vs Previous
-145.6pp
Voting-Age Pop
14,913
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is MS-HD-51?

Safe DAvg margin: D+46.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+49.9
2012
D+58.0
2016
D+51.7
2020
D+37.4
2024
D+48.9
Elasticity
20.6pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+49.2

Other Mississippi State House Districts

121 total
NameMargin ↓
MS-HD-69D+86.3
MS-HD-67D+74.8
MS-HD-65D+73.7
MS-HD-70D+67.0
MS-HD-71D+60.0
MS-HD-72D+58.2
MS-HD-32D+55.8
MS-HD-119D+50.0
MS-HD-82D+48.2
MS-HD-103D+47.8
MS-HD-41D+42.2
MS-HD-47D+40.9
MS-HD-94D+39.4
MS-HD-26D+37.8
MS-HD-49D+36.7
MS-HD-110D+36.5
MS-HD-57D+35.1
MS-HD-66D+32.3
MS-HD-29D+30.9
MS-HD-50D+30.3
MS-HD-68D+28.7
MS-HD-31D+28.7
MS-HD-42D+27.5
MS-HD-55D+26.0
MS-HD-80D+25.0
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