New York Assembly District 16
Competitive — shifted 14.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 139K residents
New York Assembly District 16 is a state house district that has a population of 138,770. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+2.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.1% | 50.3% | R+2.2 | R+14.8 |
| 2020* | 55.7% | 43.0% | D+12.6 | R+3.8 |
| 2016* | 56.4% | 40.0% | D+16.4 | D+10.3 |
| 2012* | 53.1% | 46.9% | D+6.2 | R+6.3 |
| 2008* | 55.8% | 43.3% | D+12.5 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines NY-HD-16?
NY-HD-16 flipped to Republicans in 2024 after voting the other way in 2020. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- Swung 14.8 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Margins have been narrowing — from 16.4pp to 2.2pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | NY-HD-16 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 58.1% | 52.8% | 57.4% |
Asian | 27.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 9.5% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% |
Black / African American | 1.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Who lives in New York Assembly District 16? 138,770 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in NY-HD-16
How competitive is NY-HD-16?
Other New York State House Districts
149 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| NY-HD-58 | D+84.9 |
| NY-HD-52 | D+82.0 |
| NY-HD-57 | D+81.4 |
| NY-HD-55 | D+80.5 |
| NY-HD-56 | D+80.5 |
| NY-HD-70 | D+77.2 |
| NY-HD-69 | D+76.3 |
| NY-HD-60 | D+75.0 |
| NY-HD-83 | D+74.2 |
| NY-HD-141 | D+71.3 |
| NY-HD-66 | D+70.3 |
| NY-HD-67 | D+69.7 |
| NY-HD-29 | D+67.7 |
| NY-HD-71 | D+67.5 |
| NY-HD-43 | D+66.8 |
| NY-HD-75 | D+65.3 |
| NY-HD-42 | D+64.2 |
| NY-HD-68 | D+64.1 |
| NY-HD-32 | D+64.0 |
| NY-HD-74 | D+63.8 |
| NY-HD-44 | D+62.8 |
| NY-HD-18 | D+61.7 |
| NY-HD-53 | D+60.4 |
| NY-HD-76 | D+58.6 |
| NY-HD-31 | D+56.1 |