New York Assembly District 19
Safe Republican — shifted 21.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 135K residents
New York Assembly District 19 is a state house district that has a population of 135,368. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+17.3. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.6% | 57.9% | R+17.3 | R+21.7 |
| 2020 | 51.5% | 47.1% | D+4.4 | D+16.3 |
| 2016 | 42.0% | 53.9% | R+11.9 | D+2.7 |
| 2012 | 42.7% | 57.3% | R+14.6 | R+1.5 |
| 2008 | 43.0% | 56.1% | R+13.1 | — |
What defines NY-HD-19?
NY-HD-19 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state house districts
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Swung 21.7 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 21.7 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | NY-HD-19 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 62.3% | 52.8% | 57.4% |
Asian | 17.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 13.7% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 3.4% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Who lives in New York Assembly District 19? 135,368 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in NY-HD-19
How competitive is NY-HD-19?
Other New York State House Districts
149 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| NY-HD-58 | D+84.9 |
| NY-HD-52 | D+82.0 |
| NY-HD-57 | D+81.4 |
| NY-HD-55 | D+80.5 |
| NY-HD-56 | D+80.5 |
| NY-HD-70 | D+77.2 |
| NY-HD-69 | D+76.3 |
| NY-HD-60 | D+75.0 |
| NY-HD-83 | D+74.2 |
| NY-HD-141 | D+71.3 |
| NY-HD-66 | D+70.3 |
| NY-HD-67 | D+69.7 |
| NY-HD-29 | D+67.7 |
| NY-HD-71 | D+67.5 |
| NY-HD-43 | D+66.8 |
| NY-HD-75 | D+65.3 |
| NY-HD-42 | D+64.2 |
| NY-HD-68 | D+64.1 |
| NY-HD-32 | D+64.0 |
| NY-HD-74 | D+63.8 |
| NY-HD-44 | D+62.8 |
| NY-HD-18 | D+61.7 |
| NY-HD-53 | D+60.4 |
| NY-HD-76 | D+58.6 |
| NY-HD-31 | D+56.1 |