How did NY-HD-33, New York vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NY-HD-33, New York voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+54.3. Kamala D Harris received 37,522 votes and Donald Trump received 10,744 out of 49,283 total votes cast, a 18.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NY-HD-33, New York's political history?

NY-HD-33, New York has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 18.9 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of NY-HD-33, New York?

NY-HD-33, New York has a population of 130,308 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 6.4% non-Hispanic white, 13.5% Hispanic, 51.6% Black.

Which places are most similar to NY-HD-33, New York?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to NY-HD-33, New York are New York Assembly District 29, New York Assembly District 32, Illinois State House District 9. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

New York Assembly District 33

New York · Latest: 2024↓ R+18.9 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 18.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 130K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

New York Assembly District 29NY

Urban Democratic

D+67.7

Similarity score99%

New York Assembly District 32NY

Urban Democratic

D+64.0

Similarity score98%

Illinois State House District 9IL

Urban Democratic

D+64.2

Similarity score98%

New York Assembly District 31NY

Urban Democratic

D+56.1

Similarity score97%

New York Assembly District 42NY

Urban Democratic

D+64.2

Similarity score97%

Pennsylvania State House District 203PA

Urban Democratic

D+54.5

Similarity score97%

Connecticut State House District 94CT

Urban Democratic

D+55.1

Similarity score97%

Illinois State House District 25IL

Urban Democratic

D+77.3

Similarity score97%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NY-HD-33's political evolution with the Historian

“How has New York Assembly District 33 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NY-HD-33Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Black 51.6%Asian 20.2%Hispanic 13.5%Multiracial 7.4%White (Non-Hispanic) 6.4%Native American 0.8%

Group	NY-HD-33	State	National
Black / African American	51.6%	14.4%	12.2%
Asian	20.2%	9.1%	6.0%
Hispanic / Latino	13.5%	19.8%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	7.4%	3.4%	4.0%
White (Non-Hispanic)	6.4%	52.8%	57.4%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.8%	0.6%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	<0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in New York Assembly District 33? 130,308 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NY-HD-33 vs New York vs National130K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

130K

local

130KState 19.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

81.7%

local

81.7%State 76.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $89,823National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 14.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 40.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 54.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 22.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 30.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 69.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in NY-HD-33

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

46.3%

vs Previous

-4.8pp

Voting-Age Pop

106,483

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is NY-HD-33?

Safe DAvg margin: D+68.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+78.1

2012

D+83.0

2016

D+77.1

2020

D+73.2

2024

D+54.3

Elasticity

28.6pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+73.1

Other New York State House Districts

149 total

Name	Margin ↓
NY-HD-58	D+84.9
NY-HD-52	D+82.0
NY-HD-57	D+81.4
NY-HD-55	D+80.5
NY-HD-56	D+80.5
NY-HD-70	D+77.2
NY-HD-69	D+76.3
NY-HD-60	D+75.0
NY-HD-83	D+74.2
NY-HD-141	D+71.3
NY-HD-66	D+70.3
NY-HD-67	D+69.7
NY-HD-29	D+67.7
NY-HD-71	D+67.5
NY-HD-43	D+66.8
NY-HD-75	D+65.3
NY-HD-42	D+64.2
NY-HD-68	D+64.1
NY-HD-32	D+64.0
NY-HD-74	D+63.8
NY-HD-44	D+62.8
NY-HD-18	D+61.7
NY-HD-53	D+60.4
NY-HD-76	D+58.6
NY-HD-31	D+56.1

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