Texas State House District 45
Leans Democratic — shifted 3.4pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 252K residents
Texas State House District 45 is a state house district that has a population of 252,441. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+12.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.6% | 42.8% | D+12.8 | D+3.4 |
| 2020 | 53.8% | 44.3% | D+9.4 | D+2.6 |
| 2016 | 49.7% | 42.8% | D+6.8 | D+9.6 |
| 2012 | 48.6% | 51.4% | R+2.8 | R+6.5 |
| 2008 | 51.6% | 47.9% | D+3.7 | — |
What defines TX-HD-45?
TX-HD-45 has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 16pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (48% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
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Key Insights
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2012
- Shifted 15.6 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
- Turnout decreased by 172.5 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | TX-HD-45 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 51.6% | 39.1% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 37.6% | 39.7% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 3.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% |
Asian | 2.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Texas State House District 45? 252,441 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in TX-HD-45
How competitive is TX-HD-45?
Other Texas State House Districts
149 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| TX-HD-49 | D+60.3 |
| TX-HD-110 | D+55.8 |
| TX-HD-100 | D+54.5 |
| TX-HD-146 | D+53.6 |
| TX-HD-51 | D+53.0 |
| TX-HD-109 | D+51.7 |
| TX-HD-147 | D+51.3 |
| TX-HD-111 | D+50.7 |
| TX-HD-141 | D+50.4 |
| TX-HD-131 | D+48.0 |
| TX-HD-50 | D+47.6 |
| TX-HD-46 | D+44.0 |
| TX-HD-95 | D+41.3 |
| TX-HD-48 | D+40.4 |
| TX-HD-139 | D+38.2 |
| TX-HD-142 | D+37.6 |
| TX-HD-27 | D+35.1 |
| TX-HD-103 | D+34.3 |
| TX-HD-145 | D+32.7 |
| TX-HD-77 | D+31.2 |
| TX-HD-114 | D+27.8 |
| TX-HD-116 | D+27.6 |
| TX-HD-90 | D+26.9 |
| TX-HD-123 | D+26.8 |
| TX-HD-101 | D+26.6 |