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Virginia House of Delegates District 21

Virginia House of Delegates District 21

Virginia · Latest: 2024↓ R+5.3 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 5.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 88K residents

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Virginia House of Delegates District 21 is a state house district that has a population of 87,522. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+5.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Virginia House of Delegates District 21 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202451.3%46.1%D+5.2R+5.3
202054.2%43.7%D+10.5D+3.8
201650.2%43.6%D+6.6D+5.6
201250.5%49.5%D+1.0R+2.8
200851.5%47.7%D+3.8—
Political Identity

What defines VA-HD-21?

It has a plurality-minority electorate (52% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore VA-HD-21's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • The 2012 election was decided by just 1.0 points — razor-thin
  • Turnout decreased by 174.3 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
VA-HD-21Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 48.1%Black 22.7%Asian 13.5%Hispanic 8.9%Multiracial 6.3%Native American 0.4%
GroupVA-HD-21StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
48.1%58.4%57.4%
Black / African American
22.7%18.6%12.2%
Asian
13.5%6.9%6.0%
Hispanic / Latino
8.9%11.0%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
6.3%4.7%4.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.4%0.4%0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.1%0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Virginia House of Delegates District 21? 87,522 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
VA-HD-21 vs Virginia vs National88K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
88K
local
88KState 8.7MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.03%
local
0.03%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
75.8%
local
75.8%State 75.6%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $99,933National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 10.0%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 42.3%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 67.3%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 16.7%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 13.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.4%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 82.6%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in VA-HD-21

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
65.0%
vs Previous
-174.3pp
Voting-Age Pop
66,365
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is VA-HD-21?

Lean DAvg margin: D+7.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+3.8
2012
D+1.0
2016
D+6.6
2020
D+10.5
2024
D+5.2
Elasticity
9.5pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+5.4

Other Virginia State House Districts

99 total
NameMargin ↓
VA-HD-79D+78.9
VA-HD-54D+60.8
VA-HD-01D+59.5
VA-HD-05D+58.9
VA-HD-02D+57.5
VA-HD-03D+56.6
VA-HD-78D+54.7
VA-HD-92D+52.4
VA-HD-87D+51.9
VA-HD-80D+51.5
VA-HD-77D+50.6
VA-HD-93D+48.3
VA-HD-04D+48.0
VA-HD-13D+46.3
VA-HD-07D+44.6
VA-HD-17D+42.5
VA-HD-12D+41.7
VA-HD-16D+38.7
VA-HD-85D+37.1
VA-HD-08D+35.9
VA-HD-88D+35.7
VA-HD-11D+35.4
VA-HD-23D+35.2
VA-HD-91D+35.1
VA-HD-81D+34.6
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