How did VA-HD-31, Virginia vote in the 2024 presidential election?

VA-HD-31, Virginia voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+27.3. Kamala D Harris received 18,186 votes and Donald Trump received 32,164 out of 51,187 total votes cast, a 0.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is VA-HD-31, Virginia's political history?

VA-HD-31, Virginia has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 9.8 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of VA-HD-31, Virginia?

VA-HD-31, Virginia has a population of 87,321 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 80.3% non-Hispanic white, 8.1% Hispanic, 4.5% Black.

Which places are most similar to VA-HD-31, Virginia?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to VA-HD-31, Virginia are Virginia House of Delegates District 33, Virginia House of Delegates District 42, Virginia House of Delegates District 51. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Virginia House of Delegates District 31

Virginia · Latest: 2024↓ R+0.9 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 87K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Virginia House of Delegates District 33VA

Suburban Republican 3

R+47.2

Similarity score93%

Virginia House of Delegates District 42VA

Suburban Republican 3

R+24.8

Similarity score93%

Virginia House of Delegates District 51VA

Suburban Republican 3

R+51.5

Similarity score93%

Virginia House of Delegates District 72VA

Suburban Republican 3

R+23.4

Similarity score92%

Virginia House of Delegates District 34VA

Urban Competitive

R+6.5

Similarity score91%

Minnesota State House District 06BMN

Suburban Republican 3

R+27.8

Similarity score91%

Massachusetts State House District 159MA

Urban Competitive

R+9.8

Similarity score91%

Massachusetts State House District 146MA

Suburban Competitive 2

R+9.9

Similarity score90%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore VA-HD-31's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Virginia House of Delegates District 31 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

VA-HD-31Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 80.3%Hispanic 8.1%Multiracial 5.0%Black 4.5%Asian 1.6%Native American 0.4%

Group	VA-HD-31	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	80.3%	58.4%	57.4%
Hispanic / Latino	8.1%	11.0%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	5.0%	4.7%	4.0%
Black / African American	4.5%	18.6%	12.2%
Asian	1.6%	6.9%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.4%	0.4%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Virginia House of Delegates District 31? 87,321 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

VA-HD-31 vs Virginia vs National87K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

87K

local

87KState 8.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.5%

local

77.5%State 75.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $99,933National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 10.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 42.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 67.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 13.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 82.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in VA-HD-31

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

75.6%

vs Previous

-54.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

67,669

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is VA-HD-31?

Safe RAvg margin: R+28.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+12.7

2012

R+20.9

2016

R+30.8

2020

R+26.5

2024

R+27.3

Elasticity

18.1pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+23.6

Other Virginia State House Districts

99 total

Name	Margin ↓
VA-HD-79	D+78.9
VA-HD-54	D+60.8
VA-HD-01	D+59.5
VA-HD-05	D+58.9
VA-HD-02	D+57.5
VA-HD-03	D+56.6
VA-HD-78	D+54.7
VA-HD-92	D+52.4
VA-HD-87	D+51.9
VA-HD-80	D+51.5
VA-HD-77	D+50.6
VA-HD-93	D+48.3
VA-HD-04	D+48.0
VA-HD-13	D+46.3
VA-HD-07	D+44.6
VA-HD-17	D+42.5
VA-HD-12	D+41.7
VA-HD-16	D+38.7
VA-HD-85	D+37.1
VA-HD-08	D+35.9
VA-HD-88	D+35.7
VA-HD-11	D+35.4
VA-HD-23	D+35.2
VA-HD-91	D+35.1
VA-HD-81	D+34.6

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