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Where the parties trade voters

Similar-place lookups, flip analyses, and demographic filters that make the partisan trades visible at the county and block level.

11 answers

FL

Which counties vote most like Lee?

Lee County's archetype — Fort Myers metro, retirement-heavy, Republican-leaning — named via its closest peers across the country.

Lee County's peer-matching run returned no county comparisons — the cluster lookup came back empty, and the…

2d ago
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Wisconsin counties that flipped 2016

The 2012-to-2016 flip cohort in Wisconsin as a multi-cycle unit — size of the wave, demographic composition, and trajectory through 2024.

2d ago
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SimilarityKY · MA · NY (+3)

Which counties are most similar to Luzerne County, PA?

Luzerne's archetype — a former Obama stronghold turned Republican-leaning northeastern Pennsylvania county — characterized through its close

Luzerne County's peer set could not be resolved in this run — the comparison list returned empty, and the underlying…

2d ago
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Michigan counties that flipped 2020 to 2024

The 2020→2024 county-level shift within Michigan, named specifically and quantified.

2d ago
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IL · MN · MO (+6)

Counties similar to Allegheny County, PA

Allegheny's archetype — Pittsburgh-anchored urban county in a battleground state — named via its closest peers.

2d ago
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TX

Blocks in Texas with >=60% Hispanic population

Texas's heavily-Hispanic block-groups as a statewide political bloc, with a specific multi-cycle arc.

Texas's heavily-Hispanic block-groups — 6.93 million people, 81.7% Hispanic — swung 19.2 points right across the…

2d ago
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Counties in Arizona that flipped from Biden 2020 to Trump 2024

The 2020→2024 shift in Arizona, county by county.

2d ago
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Counties that Obama won in 2012 but Trump won in 2016

The Obama-Trump flip cohort as a geographic and demographic phenomenon, traced from 2008 through 2024.

The Obama-Trump flip counties have moved 20.1 points right across 16 years, from D+9.4 in 2008 to R+10.

2d ago
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FL · IL · MI (+5)

Places like Macomb County, Michigan

Macomb's archetype — exurban Detroit, predominantly non-Hispanic white, Obama-to-Trump trajectory — named via its closest peers.

The Macomb County peer query returned no matched counties, no demographic payload, and no historical trend cycles —…

2d ago
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IL · MD · NJ (+1)

The 5 counties most demographically similar to Fairfax County, VA

Fairfax's archetype — affluent, college-educated, racially diverse DC-area suburb — named via its top-5 national peers.

The peer set for Fairfax County, VA did not load in this run — neither margins, demographics, nor multi-cycle trends…

2d ago
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TX

Blocks in Texas with at least 60% Hispanic population

Texas's 60%+ Hispanic block cohort — its size, where it concentrates, and how its partisan lean has moved across five cycles.

Texas blocks at least 60% Hispanic voted D+6.9 in 2024 while the state ran R+13.7 — a 20.6-point gap that leaves this 6.

2d ago
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