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Steve Smith

9 races across State Senate, State House, House in Minnesota, 5W-4L

Republican
State SenateState HouseUS House
Electoral Grade
—
Requires 3+ graded races
9
Races
5-4
W-L (56%)
-31.5
Avg Margin
1980–2016
Career Span
Best: +5.9 (2006 State House)Worst: -56.1 (1998 State House)
56%
Win Rate
3
Win Streak
36 yrs
Career Span
144K
Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend7 races

State House
State Senate
R+30EvenD+301982: R+34.1 - Click to view1998: R+56.1 - Click to view2004: R+26.0 - Click to view2006: R+49.3 - Click to view2006: D+5.9 - Click to view2012: R+41.6 - Click to view2016: R+19.1 - Click to view1982199820042006200620122016

Career Timeline

2016 State SenateArizonaDistrict 11
59,475
Candidate Votes
59.6%
Vote %
99,865
Total Votes
-19.1%
Margin
Top opponent: Ralph AtchueDEM

Key Insights

3 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

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Geographic Performance

9 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

9 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Opponents Faced9 opponents

Ralph AtchueDEM
1-02016 State Senate(-19.1)
Adam KwasmanREP
1-02012 State House(-41.6)
Francis McFaunOTH
0-12006 State House(+5.9)
John BernsREP
1-02006 State House(-49.3)
Barbara J SykoraREP
1-02004 State House(-26.0)
Henry Todd VandellenREP
1-01998 State House(-56.1)
Ben ErdreichDEM
0-11984 House
George SeibelsREP
0-11982 State House(-34.1)
WriteinOTH
0-11980 House

Primary History

1 primary

Primary election results, win rates, field sizes, and vote share.

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Curious about Steve Smith's performance?

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Interactive AI-powered chat about Steve Smith's career, opponents, and performance.

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