Jefferson County, Arkansas: Black Belt
Arkansas · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+20.1
2024 Margin
R+1.6%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1976
Voting Streak
🗳️ Black Belt
Classification
67K
Population
Jefferson County, Arkansas voted D+20.1 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 12,802 votes (59.25%). This represented a R+1.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976.
Electoral Behavior
🗳️
Black BeltView all
Southern counties with 40%+ Black population, a distinct region shaped by the history of slavery and the plantation economy. Voting patterns are heavily influenced by racial demographics.
Volatility
7.1
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-0.9/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+20.1
2020→2024 SwingR+1.6%
Voting StreakD since 1976
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population67,260
Median Age
39.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
26.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$46,855(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
37.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.5%(US: 18.6%)
Black
56.3%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
63.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
20.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.6%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.3%(12,802) | 39.2%(8,468) | D+20.1 | -1.6 |
| 2020 | 59.5%(14,981) | 37.8%(9,521) | D+21.7 | -4.1 |
| 2016 | 62.3%(15,772) | 36.5%(9,250) | D+25.8 | -3.3 |
| 2012 | 63.8%(17,470) | 34.8%(9,520) | D+29.0 | +2.7 |
| 2008 | 62.2%(18,465) | 35.9%(10,655) | D+26.3 | -4.7 |
| 2004 | 64.5%(19,675) | 33.5%(10,218) | D+31.0 | -1.9 |
| 2000 | 65.1%(17,716) | 32.2%(8,765) | D+32.9 | -15.4 |
| 1996 | 71.2%(19,701) | 22.9%(6,330) | D+48.3 | +3.2 |
| 1992 | 68.8%(21,819) | 23.7%(7,525) | D+45.1 | +31.2 |
| 1988 | 56.0%(16,664) | 42.1%(12,520) | D+13.9 | +3.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 65.3%(13,145) | 32.6%(6,568) | D+32.6 | -57.2 |
| 2008 | 89.8%(25,368) | 0.0%(0) | D+89.8 | +48.7 |
| 2002 | 70.6%(16,294) | 29.4%(6,791) | D+41.2 | +17.0 |
| 1996 | 62.1%(15,720) | 37.9%(9,608) | D+24.1 | -75.9 |
| 1990 | 100.0%(18,345) | 0.0%(0) | D+100.0 | +57.0 |
| 1984 | 71.5%(22,569) | 28.5%(8,992) | D+43.0 | -28.2 |
| 1978 | 81.5%(8,534) | 10.2%(1,070) | D+71.3 | +57.5 |
| 1972 | 56.9%(14,337) | 43.1%(10,876) | D+13.7 | -86.3 |
| 1954 | 100.0%(10,402) | 0.0%(0) | D+100.0 | +6.3 |
| 1948 | 93.7%(6,844) | 0.0%(0) | D+93.7 | -6.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 52.5%(10,406) | 45.4%(9,005) | D+7.1 | -27.5 |
| 2014 | 66.6%(13,447) | 32.1%(6,473) | D+34.6 | -24.6 |
| 2010 | 78.8%(14,724) | 19.6%(3,667) | D+59.1 | +11.2 |
| 2006 | 72.5%(14,659) | 24.5%(4,955) | D+48.0 | +33.9 |
| 2002 | 57.0%(13,135) | 43.0%(9,887) | D+14.1 | +20.3 |
| 1998 | 46.1%(9,641) | 52.3%(10,925) | R+6.1 | -50.5 |
| 1994 | 72.2%(16,240) | 27.8%(6,263) | D+44.3 | +5.4 |
| 1990 | 69.5%(16,471) | 30.5%(7,230) | D+39.0 | -16.9 |
| 1986 | 78.0%(18,643) | 22.0%(5,272) | D+55.9 | +0.6 |
| 1984 | 77.6%(24,599) | 22.4%(7,089) | D+55.3 | +22.8 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(84.1%) | Nikki Haley(12.6%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(48.4%) | Michael Bloomberg(21.6%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(78.7%) | Bernie Sanders(16.8%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(39.9%) | Ted Cruz(34.4%) | ✓ |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(75.5%) | Other(24.5%) | — |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(56.4%) | Barack Obama(41.9%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee