Collier County, Florida: Republican Migration
Florida Β· Presidential Elections 1924β2024
R+32.9
2024 Margin
R+8.2%
2020β2024 Swing
R since 1956
Voting Streak
π GOP Migration
Classification
376K
Population
Collier County, Florida voted R+32.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 143,267 votes (65.89%). This represented a R+8.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1956.
Electoral Behavior
π
Republican MigrationView all
Fast-growing counties attracting conservative migrants, shifting further red. Concentrated in ID, UT, and parts of TX/GA. These areas are both growing and becoming more Republican relative to national trends.
Volatility
2.9
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+32.9
2020β2024 SwingR+8.2%
Voting StreakR since 1956
Elections on Record26
Demographics
Population375,752
Median Age
52.2(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
55.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$82,011(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
62.4%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
27.5%(US: 18.6%)
Black
6.2%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
76.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.0%(71,720) | 65.9%(143,267) | R+32.9 | -8.2 |
| 2020 | 37.4%(77,621) | 62.0%(128,950) | R+24.7 | +1.3 |
| 2016 | 35.8%(61,085) | 61.7%(105,423) | R+26.0 | +4.1 |
| 2012 | 34.7%(51,698) | 64.7%(96,520) | R+30.1 | -7.6 |
| 2008 | 38.4%(54,450) | 60.8%(86,379) | R+22.5 | +8.4 |
| 2004 | 34.1%(43,892) | 65.0%(83,631) | R+30.9 | +2.2 |
| 2000 | 32.5%(29,939) | 65.6%(60,467) | R+33.1 | -6.3 |
| 1996 | 32.0%(23,185) | 58.7%(42,593) | R+26.8 | +0.6 |
| 1992 | 26.1%(18,796) | 53.4%(38,448) | R+27.3 | +23.0 |
| 1988 | 24.6%(12,769) | 74.9%(38,920) | R+50.3 | +7.2 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29.2%(63,988) | 68.5%(150,015) | R+39.3 | +3.2 |
| 2022 | 28.5%(46,537) | 71.0%(116,050) | R+42.5 | -12.4 |
| 2018 | 34.9%(54,390) | 65.1%(101,266) | R+30.1 | +9.0 |
| 2016 | 29.2%(49,470) | 68.3%(115,719) | R+39.1 | -17.9 |
| 2012 | 38.2%(54,784) | 59.4%(85,194) | R+21.2 | +34.5 |
| 2010 | 8.6%(8,876) | 64.2%(66,349) | R+55.6 | -49.6 |
| 2006 | 46.2%(39,741) | 52.3%(44,988) | R+6.1 | +27.4 |
| 2004 | 32.5%(40,332) | 66.0%(81,948) | R+33.5 | +2.2 |
| 2000 | 31.2%(28,211) | 66.8%(60,526) | R+35.7 | -12.7 |
| 1998 | 38.5%(22,536) | 61.5%(35,957) | R+22.9 | +40.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 27.9%(45,815) | 71.5%(117,477) | R+43.6 | -13.6 |
| 2018 | 34.5%(53,594) | 64.5%(100,303) | R+30.1 | +5.2 |
| 2014 | 31.1%(35,281) | 66.3%(75,337) | R+35.3 | -2.6 |
| 2010 | 32.5%(33,408) | 65.1%(66,960) | R+32.6 | +7.1 |
| 2006 | 29.1%(25,303) | 68.8%(59,821) | R+39.7 | +8.6 |
| 2002 | 25.4%(21,237) | 73.7%(61,555) | R+48.3 | -6.2 |
| 1998 | 28.9%(16,981) | 71.1%(41,688) | R+42.1 | -19.3 |
| 1994 | 38.6%(22,860) | 61.4%(36,370) | R+22.8 | -6.0 |
| 1990 | 41.6%(18,882) | 58.4%(26,505) | R+16.8 | +28.6 |
| 1986 | 27.3%(9,841) | 72.7%(26,178) | R+45.4 | -29.8 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(76.2%) | Nikki Haley(18.1%) | β |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(65.9%) | Bernie Sanders(15.9%) | β |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(66.1%) | Bernie Sanders(31.9%) | β |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(46.1%) | Marco Rubio(23.9%) | β |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(54.3%) | Barack Obama(28.5%) | β |
β = County picked eventual party nominee