Lee County, Florida: Republican Migration
Florida · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+28.3
2024 Margin
R+9.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1948
Voting Streak
🏠 GOP Migration
Classification
761K
Population
Lee County, Florida voted R+28.3 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 250,661 votes (63.6%). This represented a R+9.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1948.
Electoral Behavior
🏠
Republican MigrationView all
Fast-growing counties attracting conservative migrants, shifting further red. Concentrated in ID, UT, and parts of TX/GA. These areas are both growing and becoming more Republican relative to national trends.
Volatility
2.8
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
-0.5/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+28.3
2020→2024 SwingR+9.1%
Voting StreakR since 1948
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population760,822
Median Age
49.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
42.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$69,368(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
63.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
23.6%(US: 18.6%)
Black
7.7%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
74.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
11.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.3%(139,240) | 63.6%(250,661) | R+28.3 | -9.1 |
| 2020 | 40.0%(157,695) | 59.2%(233,247) | R+19.2 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 38.3%(124,908) | 58.7%(191,551) | R+20.4 | -3.9 |
| 2012 | 41.4%(110,157) | 57.9%(154,163) | R+16.5 | -6.2 |
| 2008 | 44.5%(119,701) | 54.8%(147,608) | R+10.4 | +10.6 |
| 2004 | 39.0%(93,860) | 59.9%(144,176) | R+20.9 | -3.2 |
| 2000 | 39.9%(73,571) | 57.6%(106,151) | R+17.7 | -8.5 |
| 1996 | 39.6%(65,699) | 48.8%(80,898) | R+9.2 | +2.8 |
| 1992 | 32.3%(53,660) | 44.2%(73,436) | R+11.9 | +24.2 |
| 1988 | 31.6%(40,725) | 67.7%(87,303) | R+36.1 | +11.7 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.6%(125,524) | 64.3%(255,340) | R+32.7 | +3.0 |
| 2022 | 31.7%(87,108) | 67.4%(185,123) | R+35.7 | -15.2 |
| 2018 | 39.7%(114,857) | 60.3%(174,316) | R+20.6 | +10.6 |
| 2016 | 32.5%(104,591) | 63.6%(204,778) | R+31.1 | -25.0 |
| 2012 | 45.3%(117,773) | 51.5%(133,746) | R+6.2 | +40.7 |
| 2010 | 10.3%(18,655) | 57.2%(103,169) | R+46.9 | -53.9 |
| 2006 | 52.6%(80,749) | 45.6%(69,955) | D+7.0 | +28.8 |
| 2004 | 38.1%(89,048) | 59.9%(139,810) | R+21.8 | -0.6 |
| 2000 | 38.0%(69,308) | 59.2%(107,824) | R+21.1 | -29.2 |
| 1998 | 54.0%(65,504) | 46.0%(55,681) | D+8.1 | +62.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 30.7%(84,739) | 68.6%(189,335) | R+37.9 | -16.2 |
| 2018 | 38.4%(111,172) | 60.1%(174,085) | R+21.7 | -1.5 |
| 2014 | 37.8%(79,454) | 58.0%(121,962) | R+20.2 | +1.5 |
| 2010 | 37.4%(68,041) | 59.1%(107,460) | R+21.7 | +6.7 |
| 2006 | 34.6%(53,426) | 62.9%(97,221) | R+28.3 | +7.1 |
| 2002 | 31.8%(51,682) | 67.2%(109,183) | R+35.4 | -6.1 |
| 1998 | 35.3%(43,077) | 64.7%(78,816) | R+29.3 | -17.0 |
| 1994 | 43.8%(58,785) | 56.2%(75,365) | R+12.4 | -1.7 |
| 1990 | 44.6%(48,784) | 55.2%(60,408) | R+10.6 | +6.9 |
| 1986 | 41.2%(40,927) | 58.8%(58,380) | R+17.6 | -16.4 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(76.2%) | Nikki Haley(18.8%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(57.0%) | Bernie Sanders(19.8%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(62.6%) | Bernie Sanders(35.1%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(47.6%) | Marco Rubio(22.0%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(56.0%) | Barack Obama(25.6%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee
Related Counties
More in FL
Similar Swing Counties
Prince William County, Virginia
Virginia
D+17.9(R+9.1%)
Robeson County, North Carolina
North Carolina
R+27.6(R+9.0%)
Chickasaw County, Mississippi
Mississippi
R+13.7(R+9.2%)
Fort Bend County, Texas
Texas
D+1.6(R+9.0%)
Riverside County, California
California
R+1.3(R+9.2%)
Mendocino County, California
California
D+26.8(R+9.0%)