Clay County, Illinois: Northern Rural Secular
Illinois · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+67.3
2024 Margin
R+2.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
13K
Population
Clay County, Illinois voted R+67.3 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 5,610 votes (82.88%). This represented a R+2.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
9.1
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-2.6/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+67.3
2020→2024 SwingR+2.1%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population13,288
Median Age
41.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
21.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$58,028(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
95.0%(US: 57.5%)
Homeownership
80.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
16.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.1%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.6%(1,054) | 82.9%(5,610) | R+67.3 | -2.1 |
| 2020 | 16.4%(1,129) | 81.6%(5,629) | R+65.2 | -2.2 |
| 2016 | 16.1%(1,020) | 79.1%(5,021) | R+63.0 | -18.9 |
| 2012 | 26.8%(1,584) | 70.9%(4,190) | R+44.1 | -20.8 |
| 2008 | 37.6%(2,425) | 60.8%(3,926) | R+23.3 | +12.1 |
| 2004 | 32.1%(2,101) | 67.4%(4,416) | R+35.3 | -9.6 |
| 2000 | 36.1%(2,212) | 61.8%(3,789) | R+25.7 | -26.4 |
| 1996 | 44.2%(2,750) | 43.4%(2,703) | D+0.8 | -6.6 |
| 1992 | 44.5%(2,962) | 37.1%(2,471) | D+7.4 | +19.1 |
| 1988 | 44.0%(2,761) | 55.6%(3,494) | R+11.7 | +17.0 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20.0%(1,149) | 79.4%(4,554) | R+59.4 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 19.3%(1,295) | 78.4%(5,254) | R+59.1 | -26.5 |
| 2016 | 31.4%(1,917) | 64.0%(3,905) | R+32.6 | +4.6 |
| 2014 | 28.9%(1,132) | 66.0%(2,587) | R+37.1 | +6.6 |
| 2010 | 25.0%(1,185) | 68.8%(3,256) | R+43.8 | -51.5 |
| 2008 | 51.9%(3,184) | 44.2%(2,711) | D+7.7 | +25.3 |
| 2004 | 39.8%(2,505) | 57.4%(3,614) | R+17.6 | -19.2 |
| 2002 | 50.0%(2,543) | 48.3%(2,460) | D+1.6 | +19.0 |
| 1998 | 40.8%(2,027) | 58.1%(2,888) | R+17.3 | -12.9 |
| 1996 | 46.1%(2,767) | 50.5%(3,031) | R+4.4 | -6.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 13.4%(782) | 85.1%(4,963) | R+71.7 | -25.6 |
| 2018 | 23.0%(1,104) | 69.2%(3,314) | R+46.1 | +10.6 |
| 2014 | 18.4%(721) | 75.1%(2,948) | R+56.7 | -8.8 |
| 2010 | 23.9%(1,158) | 71.8%(3,484) | R+47.9 | -20.4 |
| 2006 | 32.2%(1,553) | 59.6%(2,880) | R+27.5 | -7.8 |
| 2002 | 38.7%(2,035) | 58.4%(3,072) | R+19.7 | -58.6 |
| 1998 | 69.1%(3,548) | 30.2%(1,551) | D+38.9 | +82.9 |
| 1994 | 27.2%(1,183) | 71.2%(3,095) | R+44.0 | -58.5 |
| 1990 | 56.8%(3,079) | 42.3%(2,292) | D+14.5 | +56.0 |
| 1986 | 10.7%(561) | 52.2%(2,736) | R+41.5 | -27.2 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(92.3%) | Nikki Haley(4.8%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(65.1%) | Bernie Sanders(27.9%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(52.1%) | Hillary Clinton(44.9%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(48.1%) | Ted Cruz(36.6%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(46.2%) | Hillary Clinton(42.8%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee