Shelby County, Illinois: Northern Rural Secular
Illinois · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+60.2
2024 Margin
R+3.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
21K
Population
Shelby County, Illinois voted R+60.2 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 9,267 votes (79.41%). This represented a R+3.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
7.0
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.4/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+60.2
2020→2024 SwingR+3.1%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population20,990
Median Age
44.9(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
22.0%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$65,585(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
96.3%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.1%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
78.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.7%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.2%(2,240) | 79.4%(9,267) | R+60.2 | -3.1 |
| 2020 | 20.7%(2,504) | 77.8%(9,426) | R+57.1 | -3.4 |
| 2016 | 20.7%(2,288) | 74.5%(8,229) | R+53.8 | -20.2 |
| 2012 | 32.0%(3,342) | 65.5%(6,843) | R+33.5 | -13.8 |
| 2008 | 39.1%(4,245) | 58.9%(6,396) | R+19.8 | +8.7 |
| 2004 | 35.4%(3,744) | 63.9%(6,753) | R+28.4 | -10.4 |
| 2000 | 39.5%(4,018) | 57.6%(5,851) | R+18.0 | -18.4 |
| 1996 | 43.4%(4,249) | 43.1%(4,215) | D+0.3 | -12.8 |
| 1992 | 45.6%(5,101) | 32.5%(3,631) | D+13.2 | +20.3 |
| 1988 | 46.1%(4,650) | 53.3%(5,370) | R+7.1 | +12.0 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25.0%(2,419) | 74.2%(7,177) | R+49.2 | -0.9 |
| 2020 | 24.4%(2,921) | 72.8%(8,698) | R+48.4 | -5.2 |
| 2016 | 25.2%(2,733) | 68.3%(7,418) | R+43.2 | -10.9 |
| 2014 | 31.3%(2,537) | 63.5%(5,147) | R+32.2 | +10.8 |
| 2010 | 24.0%(1,936) | 67.0%(5,401) | R+43.0 | -64.3 |
| 2008 | 59.0%(6,307) | 37.6%(4,027) | D+21.3 | +14.1 |
| 2004 | 52.3%(5,364) | 45.1%(4,626) | D+7.2 | -13.4 |
| 2002 | 59.5%(4,900) | 39.0%(3,207) | D+20.6 | +51.3 |
| 1998 | 33.7%(2,813) | 64.4%(5,378) | R+30.7 | -29.5 |
| 1996 | 48.3%(4,694) | 49.5%(4,813) | R+1.2 | -7.7 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19.2%(1,890) | 77.7%(7,654) | R+58.5 | -17.8 |
| 2018 | 21.6%(1,975) | 62.3%(5,694) | R+40.7 | +8.1 |
| 2014 | 22.0%(1,780) | 70.8%(5,726) | R+48.8 | -2.1 |
| 2010 | 22.2%(1,819) | 68.9%(5,638) | R+46.7 | -21.1 |
| 2006 | 29.6%(2,271) | 55.2%(4,238) | R+25.6 | -8.4 |
| 2002 | 39.9%(3,289) | 57.1%(4,714) | R+17.3 | -55.1 |
| 1998 | 68.5%(5,803) | 30.7%(2,600) | D+37.8 | +75.8 |
| 1994 | 30.0%(2,405) | 68.0%(5,452) | R+38.0 | -46.3 |
| 1990 | 53.8%(4,904) | 45.5%(4,153) | D+8.2 | +54.7 |
| 1986 | 6.4%(538) | 52.9%(4,442) | R+46.5 | -33.2 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(85.5%) | Nikki Haley(9.0%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(68.9%) | Bernie Sanders(22.8%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(53.0%) | Hillary Clinton(44.1%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(42.6%) | Donald Trump(39.9%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(51.5%) | Hillary Clinton(40.8%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee