Muscatine County, Iowa: Northern Rural Secular
Iowa · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+14.9
2024 Margin
R+7.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
43K
Population
Muscatine County, Iowa voted R+14.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 11,152 votes (56.46%). This represented a R+7.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
7.3
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-0.7/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+14.9
2020→2024 SwingR+7.9%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population43,235
Median Age
38.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
29.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$67,427(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
75.3%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
18.4%(US: 18.6%)
Black
2.6%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
74.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
11.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.6%(8,212) | 56.5%(11,152) | R+14.9 | -7.9 |
| 2020 | 45.3%(9,372) | 52.4%(10,823) | R+7.0 | -0.8 |
| 2016 | 42.6%(8,368) | 48.8%(9,584) | R+6.2 | -22.1 |
| 2012 | 57.0%(11,323) | 41.1%(8,168) | D+15.9 | +0.2 |
| 2008 | 57.1%(10,920) | 41.5%(7,929) | D+15.6 | +12.9 |
| 2004 | 51.0%(9,542) | 48.2%(9,020) | D+2.8 | -0.8 |
| 2000 | 50.1%(8,058) | 46.5%(7,483) | D+3.6 | -8.2 |
| 1996 | 49.9%(7,674) | 38.1%(5,858) | D+11.8 | +5.9 |
| 1992 | 42.0%(7,089) | 36.1%(6,087) | D+5.9 | +4.8 |
| 1988 | 50.1%(7,059) | 49.0%(6,904) | D+1.1 | +21.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 41.7%(5,550) | 57.3%(7,623) | R+15.6 | -11.2 |
| 2020 | 45.9%(9,381) | 50.3%(10,278) | R+4.4 | +17.6 |
| 2016 | 36.5%(6,963) | 58.4%(11,157) | R+22.0 | -13.7 |
| 2014 | 43.5%(5,685) | 51.8%(6,767) | R+8.3 | +15.2 |
| 2010 | 36.8%(4,872) | 60.3%(7,974) | R+23.4 | -56.3 |
| 2008 | 66.4%(12,348) | 33.5%(6,242) | D+32.8 | +70.2 |
| 2004 | 30.2%(5,525) | 67.6%(12,368) | R+37.4 | -46.2 |
| 2002 | 53.2%(5,972) | 44.5%(4,988) | D+8.8 | +44.5 |
| 1998 | 31.6%(3,365) | 67.3%(7,175) | R+35.8 | -40.8 |
| 1996 | 51.6%(7,920) | 46.6%(7,154) | D+5.0 | +46.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 37.4%(4,950) | 59.7%(7,902) | R+22.3 | -19.3 |
| 2018 | 47.3%(7,081) | 50.3%(7,535) | R+3.0 | +23.5 |
| 2014 | 34.7%(4,563) | 61.3%(8,051) | R+26.5 | -17.2 |
| 2010 | 43.6%(5,817) | 53.0%(7,057) | R+9.3 | -24.5 |
| 2006 | 56.8%(6,984) | 41.6%(5,119) | D+15.2 | +13.1 |
| 2002 | 49.6%(5,604) | 47.5%(5,371) | D+2.1 | +0.9 |
| 1998 | 50.0%(5,352) | 48.8%(5,223) | D+1.2 | +23.8 |
| 1994 | 37.8%(4,153) | 60.4%(6,633) | R+22.6 | +7.6 |
| 1990 | 34.8%(3,919) | 64.9%(7,323) | R+30.2 | -14.8 |
| 1986 | 42.3%(3,475) | 57.7%(4,743) | R+15.4 | +0.8 |