Oldham County, Kentucky: Professional Migration
Kentucky Β· Presidential Elections 1892β2024
R+22.6
2024 Margin
R+1.1%
2020β2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
68K
Population
Oldham County, Kentucky voted R+22.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 23,025 votes (60.26%). This represented a R+1.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.5
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+22.6
2020β2024 SwingR+1.1%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population67,607
Median Age
39.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
65.0%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$117,334(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
86.3%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.8%(US: 18.6%)
Black
3.3%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
88.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
4.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37.7%(14,402) | 60.3%(23,025) | R+22.6 | -1.1 |
| 2020 | 38.2%(14,505) | 59.6%(22,654) | R+21.5 | +9.6 |
| 2016 | 31.3%(10,268) | 62.3%(20,469) | R+31.1 | +5.6 |
| 2012 | 30.9%(9,240) | 67.5%(20,179) | R+36.6 | -5.9 |
| 2008 | 34.1%(10,000) | 64.8%(18,997) | R+30.7 | +8.8 |
| 2004 | 29.8%(8,080) | 69.3%(18,801) | R+39.5 | -3.3 |
| 2000 | 30.8%(6,236) | 67.0%(13,580) | R+36.2 | -12.9 |
| 1996 | 33.9%(6,202) | 57.3%(10,477) | R+23.4 | -6.5 |
| 1992 | 32.8%(5,457) | 49.7%(8,263) | R+16.9 | +19.8 |
| 1988 | 31.5%(4,025) | 68.1%(8,716) | R+36.7 | +11.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 39.1%(10,295) | 60.8%(15,998) | R+21.7 | -2.5 |
| 2020 | 38.6%(14,715) | 57.9%(22,025) | R+19.2 | +9.7 |
| 2016 | 35.5%(11,718) | 64.5%(21,250) | R+28.9 | +2.3 |
| 2014 | 33.1%(7,746) | 64.4%(15,049) | R+31.2 | +3.4 |
| 2010 | 32.7%(7,248) | 67.3%(14,932) | R+34.6 | -5.1 |
| 2008 | 35.3%(10,206) | 64.8%(18,746) | R+29.5 | -10.5 |
| 2004 | 40.5%(10,731) | 59.5%(15,751) | R+19.0 | +33.1 |
| 2002 | 23.9%(3,893) | 76.0%(12,361) | R+52.1 | -24.9 |
| 1998 | 35.4%(5,185) | 62.6%(9,170) | R+27.2 | +11.0 |
| 1996 | 29.4%(5,323) | 67.7%(12,239) | R+38.3 | -39.5 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 49.6%(12,952) | 50.4%(13,177) | R+0.9 | +4.4 |
| 2019 | 46.3%(12,115) | 51.6%(13,488) | R+5.3 | +19.7 |
| 2015 | 35.6%(6,403) | 60.5%(10,896) | R+25.0 | -32.0 |
| 2011 | 50.3%(7,079) | 43.2%(6,082) | D+7.1 | +10.0 |
| 2007 | 48.5%(7,874) | 51.5%(8,350) | R+2.9 | +32.1 |
| 2003 | 32.5%(6,046) | 67.5%(12,565) | R+35.0 | -63.0 |
| 1999 | 53.5%(3,209) | 25.5%(1,530) | D+28.0 | +46.5 |
| 1995 | 40.3%(4,707) | 58.9%(6,879) | R+18.6 | -37.0 |
| 1991 | 59.2%(4,765) | 40.8%(3,284) | D+18.4 | +25.8 |
| 1987 | 46.3%(2,916) | 53.7%(3,382) | R+7.4 | -0.6 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(76.9%) | Nikki Haley(11.9%) | β |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(70.8%) | Bernie Sanders(13.8%) | β |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(52.4%) | Bernie Sanders(44.4%) | β |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(32.1%) | Donald Trump(27.4%) | β |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(55.8%) | Barack Obama(41.0%) | β |
β = County picked eventual party nominee