Carroll County, Maryland: Professional Migration
Maryland · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+24.8
2024 Margin
R+1.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
173K
Population
Carroll County, Maryland voted R+24.8 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 62,273 votes (60.66%). This represented a R+1.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
3.8
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+24.8
2020→2024 SwingR+1.1%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population172,891
Median Age
41.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
55.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$111,672(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
85.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.8%(US: 18.6%)
Black
3.8%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
83.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
5.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.9%(36,867) | 60.7%(62,273) | R+24.8 | -1.1 |
| 2020 | 36.3%(36,456) | 60.0%(60,218) | R+23.7 | +11.4 |
| 2016 | 29.5%(26,567) | 64.6%(58,215) | R+35.1 | -2.2 |
| 2012 | 31.9%(27,939) | 64.8%(56,761) | R+32.9 | -1.7 |
| 2008 | 33.1%(28,060) | 64.3%(54,503) | R+31.2 | +9.5 |
| 2004 | 28.9%(22,974) | 69.7%(55,275) | R+40.7 | -7.0 |
| 2000 | 31.5%(20,146) | 65.2%(41,742) | R+33.7 | -8.8 |
| 1996 | 32.3%(17,122) | 57.2%(30,316) | R+24.9 | -1.3 |
| 1992 | 28.1%(15,447) | 51.7%(28,405) | R+23.6 | +19.5 |
| 1988 | 28.3%(12,368) | 71.4%(31,224) | R+43.1 | +7.5 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.8%(26,180) | 70.9%(72,049) | R+45.1 | -22.9 |
| 2022 | 38.8%(27,799) | 61.1%(43,761) | R+22.3 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 34.9%(25,986) | 57.0%(42,479) | R+22.1 | +13.9 |
| 2016 | 30.6%(27,649) | 66.7%(60,195) | R+36.0 | -13.9 |
| 2012 | 26.7%(22,837) | 48.9%(41,795) | R+22.2 | +5.9 |
| 2010 | 34.4%(21,632) | 62.5%(39,312) | R+28.1 | +9.7 |
| 2006 | 30.2%(18,893) | 68.0%(42,550) | R+37.8 | -22.0 |
| 2004 | 41.4%(32,391) | 57.2%(44,704) | R+15.8 | +8.2 |
| 2000 | 38.0%(23,781) | 61.9%(38,790) | R+24.0 | -26.9 |
| 1998 | 51.5%(24,200) | 48.5%(22,815) | D+3.0 | +18.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 39.1%(28,117) | 56.6%(40,683) | R+17.5 | +50.0 |
| 2018 | 15.7%(11,767) | 83.2%(62,445) | R+67.5 | -1.4 |
| 2014 | 16.1%(10,349) | 82.2%(52,951) | R+66.1 | -21.3 |
| 2010 | 26.2%(16,733) | 71.1%(45,357) | R+44.8 | -3.9 |
| 2006 | 29.0%(18,227) | 69.9%(43,921) | R+40.9 | +17.8 |
| 2002 | 20.2%(12,107) | 79.0%(47,328) | R+58.8 | -21.6 |
| 1998 | 31.4%(14,938) | 68.6%(32,637) | R+37.2 | +7.0 |
| 1994 | 27.9%(12,310) | 72.1%(31,787) | R+44.2 | -27.4 |
| 1990 | 41.6%(13,037) | 58.4%(18,281) | R+16.7 | -75.2 |
| 1986 | 79.2%(19,887) | 20.8%(5,209) | D+58.5 | +72.4 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(78.6%) | Nikki Haley(21.4%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(74.5%) | Bernie Sanders(10.9%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(47.9%) | Hillary Clinton(46.0%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(55.4%) | John Kasich(21.2%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(47.3%) | Barack Obama(45.9%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee