Lincoln County, Minnesota: Northern Rural Secular
Minnesota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+37.6
2024 Margin
D+0.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
6K
Population
Lincoln County, Minnesota voted R+37.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 2,190 votes (67.7%). This represented a D+0.4% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
10.5
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.8/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+37.6
2020→2024 SwingD+0.4%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population5,640
Median Age
44.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
31.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$64,750(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
94.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.3%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
82.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.2%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.1%(972) | 67.7%(2,190) | R+37.6 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 30.1%(937) | 68.1%(2,121) | R+38.0 | -2.5 |
| 2016 | 28.5%(860) | 64.0%(1,931) | R+35.5 | -30.2 |
| 2012 | 45.8%(1,429) | 51.1%(1,595) | R+5.3 | -6.2 |
| 2008 | 48.5%(1,517) | 47.7%(1,491) | D+0.8 | +6.2 |
| 2004 | 46.6%(1,558) | 51.9%(1,736) | R+5.3 | -7.7 |
| 2000 | 48.4%(1,590) | 46.1%(1,513) | D+2.3 | -10.7 |
| 1996 | 48.6%(1,641) | 35.5%(1,199) | D+13.1 | +0.1 |
| 1992 | 42.8%(1,555) | 29.8%(1,084) | D+12.9 | +0.9 |
| 1988 | 55.2%(1,891) | 43.2%(1,479) | D+12.0 | +14.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.6%(1,258) | 57.1%(1,815) | R+17.5 | +15.7 |
| 2020 | 29.6%(911) | 62.8%(1,936) | R+33.3 | -31.2 |
| 2018 | 47.9%(1,164) | 50.0%(1,213) | R+2.0 | -4.5 |
| 2014 | 47.1%(1,100) | 44.6%(1,041) | D+2.5 | -17.4 |
| 2012 | 56.8%(1,712) | 36.9%(1,112) | D+19.9 | +26.1 |
| 2008 | 40.9%(1,272) | 47.1%(1,464) | R+6.2 | -20.3 |
| 2006 | 54.9%(1,471) | 40.7%(1,092) | D+14.1 | +2.4 |
| 2002 | 53.6%(1,660) | 41.9%(1,298) | D+11.7 | +7.7 |
| 2000 | 49.5%(1,629) | 45.4%(1,496) | D+4.0 | -3.1 |
| 1996 | 50.7%(1,703) | 43.5%(1,462) | D+7.2 | +20.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.0%(0) | 67.8%(1,653) | R+67.8 | -56.4 |
| 2018 | 43.1%(1,049) | 54.5%(1,326) | R+11.4 | -9.7 |
| 2014 | 45.1%(1,047) | 46.9%(1,087) | R+1.7 | +0.7 |
| 2010 | 41.7%(1,012) | 44.1%(1,070) | R+2.4 | -4.4 |
| 2006 | 47.9%(1,287) | 45.9%(1,234) | D+2.0 | +0.7 |
| 2002 | 42.1%(1,278) | 40.9%(1,240) | D+1.3 | +37.7 |
| 1998 | 0.0%(0) | 36.4%(1,129) | R+36.4 | -22.6 |
| 1994 | 40.4%(1,275) | 54.2%(1,713) | R+13.9 | -10.3 |
| 1990 | 47.2%(1,406) | 50.8%(1,513) | R+3.6 | +15.9 |
| 1986 | 40.1%(1,243) | 59.6%(1,847) | R+19.5 | -40.5 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(76.7%) | Nikki Haley(19.8%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(65.3%) | Bernie Sanders(14.7%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(63.1%) | Hillary Clinton(36.9%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(60.8%) | Hillary Clinton(35.3%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee