Nobles County, Minnesota: Northern Rural Secular
Minnesota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+35.5
2024 Margin
R+4.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
22K
Population
Nobles County, Minnesota voted R+35.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 5,541 votes (66.96%). This represented a R+4.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
6.5
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-1.3/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+35.5
2020→2024 SwingR+4.9%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population22,290
Median Age
36.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
22.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$62,973(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
53.1%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
33.1%(US: 18.6%)
Black
4.4%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
5.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
71.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
12.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.3%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.4%(2,599) | 67.0%(5,541) | R+35.5 | -4.9 |
| 2020 | 33.6%(2,933) | 64.3%(5,600) | R+30.6 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 31.7%(2,733) | 61.4%(5,299) | R+29.7 | -20.5 |
| 2012 | 44.5%(3,793) | 53.8%(4,581) | R+9.3 | -7.8 |
| 2008 | 48.2%(4,244) | 49.6%(4,368) | R+1.4 | +12.3 |
| 2004 | 42.4%(3,898) | 56.0%(5,159) | R+13.7 | -2.4 |
| 2000 | 42.4%(3,760) | 53.7%(4,766) | R+11.3 | -15.1 |
| 1996 | 45.3%(4,106) | 41.6%(3,769) | D+3.7 | +1.6 |
| 1992 | 37.8%(3,756) | 35.7%(3,548) | D+2.1 | -4.4 |
| 1988 | 52.7%(4,953) | 46.3%(4,348) | D+6.4 | +9.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.7%(3,103) | 58.0%(4,654) | R+19.3 | +6.5 |
| 2020 | 32.9%(2,776) | 58.7%(4,959) | R+25.9 | -21.0 |
| 2018 | 45.4%(3,185) | 50.3%(3,523) | R+4.8 | +1.4 |
| 2014 | 43.1%(2,596) | 49.3%(2,973) | R+6.3 | -25.4 |
| 2012 | 56.1%(4,587) | 37.0%(3,024) | D+19.1 | +26.6 |
| 2008 | 40.5%(3,534) | 48.0%(4,192) | R+7.5 | -9.7 |
| 2006 | 49.1%(3,697) | 46.9%(3,531) | D+2.2 | +4.5 |
| 2002 | 46.9%(3,979) | 49.2%(4,170) | R+2.3 | +3.4 |
| 2000 | 44.4%(3,889) | 50.1%(4,384) | R+5.7 | +1.1 |
| 1996 | 44.4%(4,018) | 51.2%(4,631) | R+6.8 | +9.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.0%(0) | 66.0%(4,013) | R+66.0 | -55.5 |
| 2018 | 43.0%(3,000) | 53.6%(3,734) | R+10.5 | -3.7 |
| 2014 | 43.6%(2,619) | 50.4%(3,026) | R+6.8 | +2.0 |
| 2010 | 38.2%(2,270) | 47.0%(2,794) | R+8.8 | -5.9 |
| 2006 | 46.0%(3,475) | 48.9%(3,692) | R+2.9 | +4.4 |
| 2002 | 37.5%(3,132) | 44.8%(3,735) | R+7.2 | +31.8 |
| 1998 | 0.0%(0) | 39.0%(3,265) | R+39.0 | -20.0 |
| 1994 | 36.3%(2,881) | 55.3%(4,396) | R+19.1 | -35.8 |
| 1990 | 56.8%(4,340) | 40.0%(3,059) | D+16.8 | +13.0 |
| 1986 | 51.6%(3,705) | 47.8%(3,436) | D+3.7 | -20.4 |