Scott County, Minnesota: Professional Migration
Minnesota Β· Presidential Elections 1892β2024
R+8.5
2024 Margin
R+1.8%
2020β2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
151K
Population
Scott County, Minnesota voted R+8.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 47,837 votes (53.07%). This represented a R+1.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
5.5
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
-0.5/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+8.5
2020β2024 SwingR+1.8%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population150,928
Median Age
37.3(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
55.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$118,268(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
76.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
6.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
5.5%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
6.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
84.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
4.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.9%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.6%(40,214) | 53.1%(47,837) | R+8.5 | -1.8 |
| 2020 | 45.5%(40,040) | 52.1%(45,872) | R+6.6 | +8.6 |
| 2016 | 38.0%(28,502) | 53.2%(39,948) | R+15.3 | -0.4 |
| 2012 | 41.5%(29,712) | 56.3%(40,323) | R+14.8 | -3.6 |
| 2008 | 43.5%(29,208) | 54.7%(36,724) | R+11.2 | +8.8 |
| 2004 | 39.5%(23,958) | 59.5%(36,055) | R+19.9 | -5.2 |
| 2000 | 40.0%(17,503) | 54.7%(23,954) | R+14.7 | -20.6 |
| 1996 | 44.6%(14,657) | 38.8%(12,734) | D+5.8 | +4.9 |
| 1992 | 34.8%(11,225) | 34.0%(10,936) | D+0.9 | +7.6 |
| 1988 | 46.2%(11,405) | 52.9%(13,050) | R+6.7 | +7.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.3%(44,408) | 46.4%(41,018) | D+3.8 | +13.6 |
| 2020 | 41.3%(35,758) | 51.1%(44,215) | R+9.8 | -17.8 |
| 2018 | 52.2%(34,624) | 44.2%(29,308) | D+8.0 | +22.1 |
| 2014 | 41.1%(18,597) | 55.2%(24,963) | R+14.1 | -31.7 |
| 2012 | 56.7%(39,072) | 39.1%(26,941) | D+17.6 | +37.3 |
| 2008 | 31.0%(20,693) | 50.8%(33,839) | R+19.7 | -22.1 |
| 2006 | 49.3%(23,135) | 46.9%(22,023) | D+2.4 | +31.1 |
| 2002 | 34.4%(15,308) | 63.1%(28,102) | R+28.7 | -14.2 |
| 2000 | 38.9%(16,939) | 53.4%(23,271) | R+14.5 | -10.3 |
| 1996 | 42.5%(13,915) | 46.7%(15,311) | R+4.3 | +16.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.0%(0) | 51.9%(35,289) | R+51.9 | -44.4 |
| 2018 | 44.3%(29,223) | 51.8%(34,201) | R+7.5 | +11.2 |
| 2014 | 38.0%(17,142) | 56.8%(25,586) | R+18.7 | +7.2 |
| 2010 | 30.3%(14,455) | 56.2%(26,806) | R+25.9 | -0.4 |
| 2006 | 34.2%(16,046) | 59.6%(28,001) | R+25.4 | +8.5 |
| 2002 | 24.4%(10,898) | 58.3%(26,074) | R+33.9 | +1.0 |
| 1998 | 0.0%(0) | 34.9%(12,075) | R+34.9 | +8.6 |
| 1994 | 25.8%(6,376) | 69.3%(17,140) | R+43.5 | -39.3 |
| 1990 | 45.9%(10,377) | 50.2%(11,332) | R+4.2 | -15.0 |
| 1986 | 54.3%(9,099) | 43.6%(7,299) | D+10.8 | -11.1 |