Randolph County, Missouri: Northern Rural Secular
Missouri · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+52.1
2024 Margin
R+2.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
25K
Population
Randolph County, Missouri voted R+52.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 8,322 votes (75.46%). This represented a R+2.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
12.3
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-2.5/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+52.1
2020→2024 SwingR+2.0%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population24,716
Median Age
39.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
21.3%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$51,480(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.4%(US: 18.6%)
Black
5.5%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
70.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
15.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.2%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.3%(2,571) | 75.5%(8,322) | R+52.1 | -2.0 |
| 2020 | 22.5%(2,485) | 72.7%(8,018) | R+50.2 | +0.2 |
| 2016 | 21.9%(2,283) | 72.3%(7,529) | R+50.4 | -13.9 |
| 2012 | 30.4%(3,031) | 66.8%(6,667) | R+36.5 | -13.2 |
| 2008 | 37.5%(3,984) | 60.8%(6,457) | R+23.3 | +5.8 |
| 2004 | 35.2%(3,586) | 64.2%(6,551) | R+29.1 | -21.1 |
| 2000 | 44.8%(4,116) | 52.7%(4,844) | R+7.9 | -21.6 |
| 1996 | 50.1%(4,502) | 36.4%(3,274) | D+13.7 | -5.2 |
| 1992 | 48.5%(4,951) | 29.6%(3,025) | D+18.9 | +9.5 |
| 1988 | 54.6%(5,291) | 45.2%(4,384) | D+9.4 | +21.7 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.6%(2,900) | 70.5%(7,700) | R+44.0 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 27.2%(1,953) | 72.8%(5,238) | R+45.7 | -7.1 |
| 2018 | 28.7%(2,555) | 67.2%(5,986) | R+38.5 | -14.6 |
| 2016 | 35.3%(3,656) | 59.2%(6,135) | R+23.9 | -19.2 |
| 2012 | 43.5%(4,286) | 48.2%(4,750) | R+4.7 | +29.1 |
| 2010 | 29.6%(2,263) | 63.4%(4,845) | R+33.8 | -24.3 |
| 2006 | 42.7%(3,494) | 52.2%(4,272) | R+9.5 | +24.3 |
| 2004 | 32.5%(3,294) | 66.3%(6,728) | R+33.8 | -31.0 |
| 2002 | 47.5%(3,671) | 50.4%(3,894) | R+2.9 | -5.5 |
| 2000 | 50.9%(4,695) | 48.2%(4,450) | D+2.6 | +8.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.0%(2,509) | 74.9%(8,177) | R+51.9 | -2.3 |
| 2020 | 23.7%(2,532) | 73.3%(7,842) | R+49.6 | -21.2 |
| 2016 | 34.4%(3,561) | 62.8%(6,505) | R+28.4 | -22.7 |
| 2012 | 45.4%(4,491) | 51.1%(5,055) | R+5.7 | +3.3 |
| 2008 | 44.5%(4,700) | 53.5%(5,652) | R+9.0 | +7.5 |
| 2004 | 41.1%(4,167) | 57.6%(5,841) | R+16.5 | -25.6 |
| 2000 | 53.6%(4,897) | 44.5%(4,066) | D+9.1 | -24.8 |
| 1996 | 65.6%(5,895) | 31.7%(2,852) | D+33.9 | +11.0 |
| 1992 | 61.5%(6,175) | 38.5%(3,874) | D+22.9 | +37.9 |
| 1988 | 42.4%(4,082) | 57.4%(5,526) | R+15.0 | -4.2 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(63.5%) | Bernie Sanders(29.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(52.0%) | Hillary Clinton(44.9%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(45.6%) | Ted Cruz(40.1%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(58.2%) | Barack Obama(35.6%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee