Dutchess County, New York: Professional Migration
New York · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+5.4
2024 Margin
R+4.3%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
296K
Population
Dutchess County, New York voted D+5.4 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 79,994 votes (52.14%). This represented a R+4.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
3.1
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+5.4
2020→2024 SwingR+4.3%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population295,911
Median Age
42.9(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
58.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$94,578(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
67.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
14.9%(US: 18.6%)
Black
10.9%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
3.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
68.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.1%(79,994) | 46.8%(71,778) | D+5.4 | -4.3 |
| 2020 | 54.0%(81,443) | 44.4%(66,872) | D+9.7 | +9.3 |
| 2016 | 47.5%(62,285) | 47.2%(61,821) | D+0.3 | -7.2 |
| 2012 | 52.8%(65,312) | 45.3%(56,025) | D+7.5 | -1.1 |
| 2008 | 53.7%(71,060) | 45.1%(59,628) | D+8.6 | +12.8 |
| 2004 | 47.0%(58,232) | 51.2%(63,372) | R+4.2 | -3.9 |
| 2000 | 46.9%(52,390) | 47.1%(52,669) | R+0.3 | -5.5 |
| 1996 | 45.6%(47,339) | 40.4%(41,929) | D+5.2 | +9.6 |
| 1992 | 36.1%(41,655) | 40.5%(46,709) | R+4.4 | +18.4 |
| 1988 | 38.2%(38,968) | 61.0%(62,165) | R+22.8 | +13.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.5%(82,986) | 44.0%(65,871) | D+11.4 | +9.2 |
| 2022 | 45.8%(52,257) | 43.5%(49,706) | D+2.2 | -12.5 |
| 2018 | 57.4%(63,675) | 42.6%(47,268) | D+14.8 | -4.3 |
| 2016 | 58.3%(72,659) | 39.3%(48,934) | D+19.0 | -14.1 |
| 2012 | 65.8%(77,809) | 32.6%(38,607) | D+33.1 | +22.1 |
| 2010 | 54.8%(46,121) | 43.7%(36,801) | D+11.1 | -3.4 |
| 2006 | 56.0%(45,536) | 41.6%(33,790) | D+14.4 | -10.7 |
| 2004 | 59.4%(66,100) | 34.3%(38,170) | D+25.1 | +40.2 |
| 2000 | 41.3%(45,658) | 56.5%(62,393) | R+15.1 | -0.1 |
| 1998 | 41.8%(31,431) | 56.8%(42,735) | R+15.0 | -5.2 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 48.3%(55,519) | 51.7%(59,486) | R+3.5 | +3.6 |
| 2018 | 45.2%(51,179) | 52.2%(59,131) | R+7.0 | -1.0 |
| 2014 | 44.1%(33,306) | 50.1%(37,832) | R+6.0 | -21.4 |
| 2010 | 55.8%(48,165) | 40.4%(34,874) | D+15.4 | -11.1 |
| 2006 | 62.2%(50,682) | 35.7%(29,095) | D+26.5 | +60.3 |
| 2002 | 24.5%(18,606) | 58.3%(44,289) | R+33.8 | +16.4 |
| 1998 | 19.8%(15,121) | 69.9%(53,442) | R+50.1 | -11.6 |
| 1994 | 28.1%(24,892) | 66.7%(59,053) | R+38.6 | -45.8 |
| 1990 | 36.9%(24,878) | 29.6%(19,985) | D+7.3 | +2.1 |
| 1986 | 51.0%(31,668) | 45.8%(28,474) | D+5.1 | +31.6 |