Pembina County, North Dakota: Northern Rural Secular
North Dakota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+52.9
2024 Margin
R+2.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
7K
Population
Pembina County, North Dakota voted R+52.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 2,350 votes (75.51%). This represented a R+2.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
9.4
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-1.3/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+52.9
2020→2024 SwingR+2.6%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population6,844
Median Age
45.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
28.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$64,243(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
89.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.0%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
74.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
10.4%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.6%(704) | 75.5%(2,350) | R+52.9 | -2.6 |
| 2020 | 23.6%(786) | 73.8%(2,460) | R+50.3 | -1.8 |
| 2016 | 21.6%(681) | 70.0%(2,208) | R+48.4 | -28.6 |
| 2012 | 38.5%(1,253) | 58.3%(1,899) | R+19.9 | -13.0 |
| 2008 | 45.2%(1,494) | 52.1%(1,722) | R+6.9 | +22.8 |
| 2004 | 34.3%(1,321) | 64.0%(2,466) | R+29.7 | +5.7 |
| 2000 | 28.9%(1,093) | 64.3%(2,430) | R+35.4 | -20.6 |
| 1996 | 36.2%(1,191) | 50.9%(1,678) | R+14.8 | +2.9 |
| 1992 | 28.7%(1,186) | 46.5%(1,917) | R+17.7 | +2.9 |
| 1988 | 39.0%(1,616) | 59.6%(2,471) | R+20.6 | +14.2 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.1%(840) | 72.9%(2,264) | R+45.9 | +8.2 |
| 2022 | 16.5%(406) | 70.6%(1,737) | R+54.1 | -31.1 |
| 2018 | 38.2%(1,132) | 61.2%(1,814) | R+23.0 | +45.8 |
| 2016 | 14.2%(453) | 83.0%(2,644) | R+68.8 | -71.7 |
| 2012 | 51.3%(1,672) | 48.5%(1,579) | D+2.9 | +67.8 |
| 2010 | 16.7%(447) | 81.6%(2,181) | R+64.9 | -117.1 |
| 2006 | 75.4%(2,284) | 23.2%(703) | D+52.2 | +16.4 |
| 2004 | 67.9%(2,625) | 32.1%(1,240) | D+35.8 | +14.2 |
| 2000 | 60.8%(2,299) | 39.2%(1,481) | D+21.6 | -12.1 |
| 1998 | 66.4%(2,069) | 32.6%(1,016) | D+33.8 | +20.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.7%(609) | 77.3%(2,387) | R+57.6 | -2.2 |
| 2020 | 18.9%(625) | 74.3%(2,451) | R+55.3 | +9.1 |
| 2016 | 16.2%(513) | 80.6%(2,556) | R+64.4 | -28.5 |
| 2012 | 31.0%(1,003) | 66.9%(2,165) | R+35.9 | +26.3 |
| 2008 | 18.3%(614) | 80.5%(2,695) | R+62.2 | -6.9 |
| 2004 | 21.6%(832) | 76.9%(2,960) | R+55.3 | -49.6 |
| 2000 | 47.1%(1,788) | 52.9%(2,005) | R+5.7 | +31.1 |
| 1996 | 31.6%(1,028) | 68.4%(2,226) | R+36.8 | -2.3 |
| 1992 | 32.1%(1,324) | 66.6%(2,747) | R+34.5 | -45.3 |
| 1988 | 55.4%(2,356) | 44.6%(1,899) | D+10.7 | +4.1 |