Clay County, Texas: Northern Rural Secular
Texas · Presidential Elections 1912–2024
R+79.6
2024 Margin
R+2.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
10K
Population
Clay County, Texas voted R+79.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 5,288 votes (89.51%). This represented a R+2.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
17.1
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.9/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+79.6
2020→2024 SwingR+2.2%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record29
Demographics
Population10,218
Median Age
46.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
31.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$75,227(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
6.8%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
80.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
11.3%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9.9%(584) | 89.5%(5,288) | R+79.6 | -2.2 |
| 2020 | 10.7%(614) | 88.1%(5,069) | R+77.5 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 10.7%(536) | 87.2%(4,377) | R+76.5 | -6.8 |
| 2012 | 14.6%(740) | 84.4%(4,266) | R+69.7 | -11.1 |
| 2008 | 20.3%(1,085) | 78.9%(4,213) | R+58.6 | -8.1 |
| 2004 | 24.6%(1,299) | 75.1%(3,971) | R+50.5 | -14.9 |
| 2000 | 31.5%(1,460) | 67.1%(3,112) | R+35.6 | -28.3 |
| 1996 | 40.6%(1,690) | 48.0%(1,997) | R+7.4 | -14.2 |
| 1992 | 39.1%(1,919) | 32.3%(1,586) | D+6.8 | +1.1 |
| 1988 | 52.7%(2,288) | 47.1%(2,043) | D+5.7 | +22.0 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11.3%(663) | 87.2%(5,128) | R+76.0 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 11.1%(632) | 87.2%(4,958) | R+76.1 | -2.3 |
| 2018 | 12.8%(547) | 86.5%(3,710) | R+73.8 | -0.2 |
| 2014 | 11.4%(319) | 85.0%(2,375) | R+73.6 | -13.7 |
| 2012 | 18.7%(910) | 78.7%(3,820) | R+59.9 | -7.4 |
| 2008 | 22.7%(1,158) | 75.2%(3,837) | R+52.5 | -7.5 |
| 2006 | 26.6%(929) | 71.5%(2,503) | R+45.0 | -26.2 |
| 2002 | 40.3%(1,317) | 59.1%(1,932) | R+18.8 | +24.1 |
| 2000 | 28.0%(1,265) | 70.9%(3,202) | R+42.9 | -17.6 |
| 1996 | 36.8%(1,484) | 62.1%(2,506) | R+25.3 | +0.1 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 8.8%(393) | 90.3%(4,052) | R+81.5 | -3.2 |
| 2018 | 10.5%(449) | 88.8%(3,807) | R+78.3 | -5.4 |
| 2014 | 12.8%(363) | 85.7%(2,436) | R+72.9 | -30.5 |
| 2010 | 27.3%(943) | 69.7%(2,407) | R+42.4 | -16.4 |
| 2006 | 17.4%(613) | 43.3%(1,530) | R+26.0 | +10.7 |
| 2002 | 30.2%(1,014) | 66.9%(2,244) | R+36.7 | +9.7 |
| 1998 | 26.7%(785) | 73.0%(2,149) | R+46.3 | -48.0 |
| 1994 | 50.6%(1,766) | 49.0%(1,708) | D+1.7 | -13.6 |
| 1990 | 55.6%(1,836) | 40.3%(1,331) | D+15.3 | +19.4 |
| 1986 | 47.5%(1,420) | 51.6%(1,543) | R+4.1 | -36.2 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(49.6%) | Bernie Sanders(16.0%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(62.5%) | Bernie Sanders(33.9%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(49.7%) | Donald Trump(29.4%) | ✗ |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(54.4%) | Other(45.6%) | — |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(69.3%) | Barack Obama(22.1%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee