Fairfax County, Virginia: Professional Migration
Virginia · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+34.7
2024 Margin
R+7.2%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2004
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
1.2M
Population
Fairfax County, Virginia voted D+34.7 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 386,438 votes (65.56%). This represented a R+7.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2004.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
7.9
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+1.4/yr (blue)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+34.7
2020→2024 SwingR+7.2%
Voting StreakD since 2004
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population1,150,309
Median Age
38.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
96.7%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$145,165(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
47.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
17.4%(US: 18.6%)
Black
9.6%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
20.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
68.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
5.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 65.6%(386,438) | 30.9%(181,895) | D+34.7 | -7.2 |
| 2020 | 69.9%(419,943) | 28.0%(168,401) | D+41.9 | +6.0 |
| 2016 | 64.4%(355,133) | 28.6%(157,710) | D+35.8 | +15.3 |
| 2012 | 59.6%(315,273) | 39.1%(206,773) | D+20.5 | -0.7 |
| 2008 | 60.1%(310,359) | 38.9%(200,994) | D+21.2 | +13.9 |
| 2004 | 53.3%(245,671) | 45.9%(211,980) | D+7.3 | +8.7 |
| 2000 | 47.5%(196,501) | 48.9%(202,181) | R+1.4 | +0.2 |
| 1996 | 46.6%(170,150) | 48.2%(176,033) | R+1.6 | +1.1 |
| 1992 | 41.6%(160,186) | 44.3%(170,488) | R+2.7 | +20.1 |
| 1988 | 38.3%(125,711) | 61.1%(200,641) | R+22.8 | +3.2 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 67.9%(393,906) | 32.1%(186,266) | D+35.8 | -4.1 |
| 2020 | 69.9%(415,791) | 30.0%(178,395) | D+39.9 | -4.1 |
| 2018 | 70.9%(340,740) | 26.9%(129,095) | D+44.0 | +26.5 |
| 2014 | 57.7%(176,418) | 40.2%(122,857) | D+17.5 | -5.1 |
| 2012 | 61.2%(319,748) | 38.6%(201,414) | D+22.7 | -14.4 |
| 2008 | 67.9%(345,978) | 30.9%(157,286) | D+37.0 | +18.2 |
| 2006 | 58.9%(202,036) | 40.0%(137,313) | D+18.9 | +100.6 |
| 2002 | 0.0%(0) | 81.7%(205,276) | R+81.7 | -85.8 |
| 2000 | 52.0%(213,311) | 48.0%(196,827) | D+4.0 | +18.7 |
| 1996 | 42.5%(153,439) | 57.2%(206,383) | R+14.7 | -29.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 73.8%(329,977) | 25.9%(116,053) | D+47.8 | +11.1 |
| 2017 | 67.9%(255,200) | 31.1%(117,141) | D+36.7 | +14.5 |
| 2013 | 58.3%(178,746) | 36.1%(110,681) | D+22.2 | +23.8 |
| 2009 | 49.1%(134,189) | 50.7%(138,655) | R+1.6 | -23.8 |
| 2005 | 60.1%(163,667) | 38.0%(103,285) | D+22.2 | +12.6 |
| 2001 | 54.5%(146,537) | 44.9%(120,799) | D+9.6 | +15.4 |
| 1997 | 46.7%(114,697) | 52.5%(129,038) | R+5.8 | -2.3 |
| 1993 | 48.0%(115,800) | 51.5%(124,270) | R+3.5 | -15.5 |
| 1989 | 55.9%(127,236) | 43.9%(99,957) | D+12.0 | +1.3 |
| 1985 | 55.3%(87,542) | 44.7%(70,656) | D+10.7 | +7.1 |