Winchester city, Virginia: Professional Migration
Virginia · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+9.7
2024 Margin
R+1.8%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
28K
Population
Winchester city, Virginia voted D+9.7 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 6,407 votes (53.87%). This represented a R+1.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
4.4
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.7/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+9.7
2020→2024 SwingR+1.8%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population28,120
Median Age
36.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
45.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$62,495(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
62.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
20.1%(US: 18.6%)
Black
10.2%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
41.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
19.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.9%(6,407) | 44.2%(5,252) | D+9.7 | -1.8 |
| 2020 | 54.6%(6,610) | 43.1%(5,221) | D+11.5 | +8.0 |
| 2016 | 48.4%(5,164) | 44.9%(4,790) | D+3.5 | +2.1 |
| 2012 | 49.5%(5,094) | 48.0%(4,946) | D+1.4 | -3.9 |
| 2008 | 52.0%(5,268) | 46.7%(4,725) | D+5.4 | +19.4 |
| 2004 | 42.5%(3,967) | 56.5%(5,283) | R+14.1 | -1.5 |
| 2000 | 42.1%(3,318) | 54.7%(4,314) | R+12.6 | -3.6 |
| 1996 | 41.9%(3,027) | 51.0%(3,681) | R+9.1 | +4.8 |
| 1992 | 35.9%(2,768) | 49.8%(3,833) | R+13.8 | +18.2 |
| 1988 | 33.5%(2,300) | 65.5%(4,497) | R+32.0 | +9.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58.1%(6,804) | 41.9%(4,905) | D+16.2 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 57.6%(6,898) | 42.4%(5,076) | D+15.2 | -2.2 |
| 2018 | 57.5%(5,242) | 40.1%(3,657) | D+17.4 | +21.6 |
| 2014 | 46.1%(2,732) | 50.4%(2,985) | R+4.3 | -9.0 |
| 2012 | 52.2%(5,292) | 47.5%(4,816) | D+4.7 | -34.0 |
| 2008 | 68.8%(6,896) | 30.1%(3,017) | D+38.7 | +40.5 |
| 2006 | 48.5%(3,230) | 50.3%(3,351) | R+1.8 | +83.0 |
| 2002 | 0.0%(0) | 84.8%(3,423) | R+84.8 | -74.8 |
| 2000 | 45.0%(3,490) | 55.0%(4,265) | R+10.0 | +6.7 |
| 1996 | 41.7%(2,913) | 58.3%(4,076) | R+16.6 | -12.5 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 60.3%(5,318) | 39.5%(3,485) | D+20.8 | +11.8 |
| 2017 | 53.7%(3,569) | 44.7%(2,969) | D+9.0 | +10.3 |
| 2013 | 46.3%(2,631) | 47.5%(2,702) | R+1.3 | +20.2 |
| 2009 | 39.2%(2,076) | 60.7%(3,215) | R+21.5 | -24.6 |
| 2005 | 45.1%(2,683) | 42.0%(2,497) | D+3.1 | -0.6 |
| 2001 | 51.4%(3,155) | 47.7%(2,928) | D+3.7 | +22.2 |
| 1997 | 40.2%(2,131) | 58.7%(3,114) | R+18.5 | +15.9 |
| 1993 | 32.5%(1,798) | 66.9%(3,708) | R+34.5 | -16.6 |
| 1989 | 41.1%(2,253) | 58.9%(3,232) | R+17.8 | -24.5 |
| 1985 | 53.3%(2,443) | 46.7%(2,137) | D+6.7 | +11.7 |