Safe Republican — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 54.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 31.9% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 6.7% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 30.2% | 65.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.5% | 18.4% |
| Other | 3.8% | 8.2% |
| Catholic | 3.8% | 8.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.1% | 6.7% |
| Non-religious | 53.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+76.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+71.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+74.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+67.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+56.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+52.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+42.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+18.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.5 |
1996: Perot 8.4% · 1992: Perot 18%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%