Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 34 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 40.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 54.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 1.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 3.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 33.5% | 63.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.8% | 20.6% |
| Catholic | 4.2% | 8.0% |
| Other | 4.0% | 7.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.9% | 5.5% |
| Non-religious | 47.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+78.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+74.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+67.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+64.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+60.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+65.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+59.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+29.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+29.0 |
1996: Perot 10.4% · 1992: Perot 19.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%