Safe Republican — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 30 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 35.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 55.8% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 6.7% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 38.3% | 57.5% |
| Catholic | 21.8% | 32.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.8% | 4.2% |
| Other | 1.9% | 2.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.8% | 2.7% |
| Non-religious | 33.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+56.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+50.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+43.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+42.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+50.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+38.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+16.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+21.7 |
1996: Perot 5.6% · 1992: Perot 10.7%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%