How did Lubbock vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Lubbock voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+47.3. Kamala D Harris received 45,357 votes and Donald Trump received 128,374 out of 175,449 total votes cast, a 6.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Lubbock's political history?

Lubbock has 35 presidential elections on record, spanning 1888 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 115.2 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Lubbock?

Lubbock has a population of 1,762,744 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 52.6% non-Hispanic white, 38.4% Hispanic, 6.1% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $45,870.

Which places are most similar to Lubbock?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Lubbock are Waco-Temple-Bryan, Odessa-Midland, Amarillo. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Lubbock

A West Texas anchor where cotton-belt conservatism runs deep

The Lubbock media market spans the South Plains and caprock country, where Republican margins routinely exceed 40 points and the regional economy ties voting patterns tightly to agriculture and the energy sector.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 651

Population1.8M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

32y▼ 6.9

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

23.1%▼ 11.9

White52.6%
Hispanic38.4%
Other10.0%
Two or more7.4%
Black6.1%
Asian1.3%
Native0.7%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

LubbockBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Waco-Temple-Bryan, Odessa-Midland, and Amarillo.

8 visible matches

Wichita Falls & Lawton

Diverse rural competitive

R+21.1

Similarity score83%

Tyler-Longview (Lufkin & Nacogdoches)

Rural Republican 2

R+51.9

Similarity score83%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lubbock

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Lubbock	319K	R+39.5	37,148	86,547	125,038	17.8%
Lubbock	295K	R+39.5	37,148	86,547	125,038	17.8%
Lubbock	263K	R+39.5	37,148	86,547	125,038	17.8%
Lubbock	243K	R+39.5	37,148	86,547	125,038	17.8%
Hale	37K	R+57.9	1,903	7,283	9,285	1.3%
Hale	36K	R+57.9	1,903	7,283	9,285	1.3%
Hale	35K	R+57.9	1,903	7,283	9,285	1.3%
Hale	32K	R+57.9	1,903	7,283	9,285	1.3%
Hockley	23K	R+66.3	1,323	6,616	7,988	1.1%
Hockley	23K	R+66.3	1,323	6,616	7,988	1.1%
Hockley	22K	R+66.3	1,323	6,616	7,988	1.1%
Gaines	22K	R+82.6	538	5,840	6,416	0.9%
Hockley	21K	R+66.3	1,323	6,616	7,988	1.1%
Gaines	19K	R+82.6	538	5,840	6,416	0.9%
Dawson	15K	R+61.0	667	2,810	3,513	0.5%
Gaines	15K	R+82.6	538	5,840	6,416	0.9%
Lamb	15K	R+64.3	729	3,398	4,151	0.6%
Gaines	14K	R+82.6	538	5,840	6,416	0.9%
Dawson	14K	R+61.0	667	2,810	3,513	0.5%
Lamb	14K	R+64.3	729	3,398	4,151	0.6%
Lamb	14K	R+64.3	729	3,398	4,151	0.6%
Dawson	13K	R+61.0	667	2,810	3,513	0.5%
Lamb	13K	R+64.3	729	3,398	4,151	0.6%
Terry	13K	R+65.2	587	2,815	3,420	0.5%
Terry	13K	R+65.2	587	2,815	3,420	0.5%
Terry	12K	R+65.2	587	2,815	3,420	0.5%
Dawson	12K	R+61.0	667	2,810	3,513	0.5%
Terry	12K	R+65.2	587	2,815	3,420	0.5%
Yoakum	8K	R+70.9	342	2,039	2,393	0.3%
Floyd	8K	R+64.9	358	1,715	2,090	0.3%
Yoakum	8K	R+70.9	342	2,039	2,393	0.3%
Yoakum	7K	R+70.9	342	2,039	2,393	0.3%
Yoakum	7K	R+70.9	342	2,039	2,393	0.3%
Bailey	7K	R+61.1	332	1,395	1,741	0.2%
Crosby	7K	R+51.3	451	1,416	1,880	0.3%
Bailey	7K	R+61.1	332	1,395	1,741	0.2%
Floyd	7K	R+64.9	358	1,715	2,090	0.3%
Garza	7K	R+72.6	213	1,374	1,599	0.2%
Bailey	7K	R+61.1	332	1,395	1,741	0.2%
Lynn	7K	R+70.3	371	2,175	2,567	0.4%
Bailey	6K	R+61.1	332	1,395	1,741	0.2%
Crosby	6K	R+51.3	451	1,416	1,880	0.3%
Floyd	6K	R+64.9	358	1,715	2,090	0.3%
Crosby	6K	R+51.3	451	1,416	1,880	0.3%
Lynn	6K	R+70.3	371	2,175	2,567	0.4%
Lynn	6K	R+70.3	371	2,175	2,567	0.4%
Lynn	6K	R+70.3	371	2,175	2,567	0.4%
Floyd	5K	R+64.9	358	1,715	2,090	0.3%
Garza	5K	R+72.6	213	1,374	1,599	0.2%
Crosby	5K	R+51.3	451	1,416	1,880	0.3%
Garza	5K	R+72.6	213	1,374	1,599	0.2%
Garza	5K	R+72.6	213	1,374	1,599	0.2%
Cochran	4K	R+65.7	148	735	893	0.1%
Cochran	3K	R+65.7	148	735	893	0.1%
Cochran	3K	R+65.7	148	735	893	0.1%
Dickens	3K	R+70.3	146	844	993	0.1%
Cochran	3K	R+65.7	148	735	893	0.1%
Dickens	2K	R+70.3	146	844	993	0.1%
Dickens	2K	R+70.3	146	844	993	0.1%
Dickens	2K	R+70.3	146	844	993	0.1%
Motley	1K	R+88.8	35	612	650	0.1%
Motley	1K	R+88.8	35	612	650	0.1%
Motley	1K	R+88.8	35	612	650	0.1%
Motley	1K	R+88.8	35	612	650	0.1%
Kent	859	R+76.4	50	390	445	0.1%
Kent	734	R+76.4	50	390	445	0.1%
Borden	729	R+91.5	16	370	387	0.1%
Borden	713	R+91.5	16	370	387	0.1%
Kent	703	R+76.4	50	390	445	0.1%
Borden	698	R+91.5	16	370	387	0.1%
Kent	667	R+76.4	50	390	445	0.1%
Borden	585	R+91.5	16	370	387	0.1%

72 countiesTotal votes: 701,796

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Lubbock's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Lubbock media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

LubbockCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 52.6%Hispanic 38.4%Black 6.1%Asian 1.3%Multiracial 0.8%Native American 0.7%

Group	Lubbock	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	52.6%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	38.4%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(13)	6.1%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	1.3%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	0.8%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	0.7%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

56.1%(265.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -31.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	31.2%	55.7%	—	—
Catholic	15.9%	28.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.1%	9.2%	—	—
Other	2.5%	4.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.3%	2.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	1.9%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	43.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Lubbock media market? 1,762,744 residents across 72 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Lubbock vs National1.8M residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.8M

local

1.8MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.53%

local

0.53%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.3%

local

37.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$45,870

local

$45,870National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.3%

local

18.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.1%

local

23.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

61.8%

local

61.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

32.0 yrs

local

32.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.8%

local

16.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.9%

local

9.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.3%

local

7.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.7%

local

27.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.3%

local

72.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Lubbock

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

52.6%

vs Previous

+1.0pp

Eligible Non-Voters

158K · 47.4%

Citizen VAP

333,411

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Lubbock split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (73/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+47.3	R+44.7	2.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 6.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Lubbock sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Texas(State)

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