Safe Republican — shifted 4.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 22.3% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 1.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 31.6% | 66.4% |
| Catholic | 7.3% | 15.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.9% | 12.4% |
| Other | 1.6% | 3.4% |
| Black Protestant | 1.1% | 2.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 52.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+68.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+63.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+65.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+67.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+54.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+55.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+47.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+2.9 |
1996: Perot 11.8% · 1992: Perot 29.2%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%