Safe Republican — shifted 6.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 31.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 61.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 4.6% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 46.2% | 55.4% |
| Catholic | 28.4% | 34.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.2% | 6.2% |
| Other | 2.4% | 2.9% |
| Black Protestant | 1.1% | 1.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 16.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+57.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+51.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+48.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+48.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+44.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+58.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+51.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+27.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+32.6 |
1996: Perot 6.2% · 1992: Perot 13.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%