Safe Republican — shifted 4.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 65.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 26.4% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 5.9% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 80.5% | 78.7% |
| Catholic | 11.5% | 11.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.3% | 10.1% |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+71.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+67.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+61.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+43.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+32.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+27.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+20.5 |
1996: Perot 8.7% · 1992: Perot 19.7%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%