How did Abilene-Sweetwater vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Abilene-Sweetwater voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+63.6. Kamala D Harris received 22,898 votes and Donald Trump received 104,706 out of 128,688 total votes cast, a 3.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Abilene-Sweetwater's political history?

Abilene-Sweetwater has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 98.7 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Abilene-Sweetwater?

Abilene-Sweetwater has a population of 1,249,471 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 68.5% non-Hispanic white, 22.6% Hispanic, 5.9% Black. About 19% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $44,519.

Which places are most similar to Abilene-Sweetwater?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Abilene-Sweetwater are Tyler-Longview (Lufkin & Nacogdoches), San Angelo, Wichita Falls & Lawton. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Abilene-Sweetwater

West Texas oil country where statewide margins routinely exceed 40 points

Anchored by Taylor and Nolan counties, this market's electorate skews heavily rural and Anglo, producing some of Texas's most lopsided statewide results and offering campaigns little competitive terrain to contest.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 662

Population1.2M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36.8y▼ 2.1

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

19.3%▼ 15.7

White68.5%
Hispanic22.6%
Other7.1%
Black5.9%
Two or more5.8%
Asian1.0%
Native0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Abilene-SweetwaterBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Tyler-Longview (Lufkin & Nacogdoches), San Angelo, and Wichita Falls & Lawton.

8 visible matches

Tyler-Longview (Lufkin & Nacogdoches)

Wichita Falls & Lawton

Small-town rural republican

R+45.4

Similarity score84%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Abilene-Sweetwater

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Taylor	146K	R+49.8	13,624	41,198	55,417	10.8%
Taylor	135K	R+49.8	13,624	41,198	55,417	10.8%
Taylor	127K	R+49.8	13,624	41,198	55,417	10.8%
Taylor	127K	R+49.8	13,624	41,198	55,417	10.8%
Brown	38K	R+73.9	2,132	14,593	16,853	3.3%
Brown	38K	R+73.9	2,132	14,593	16,853	3.3%
Brown	38K	R+73.9	2,132	14,593	16,853	3.3%
Brown	38K	R+73.9	2,132	14,593	16,853	3.3%
Jones	21K	R+73.1	907	5,988	6,947	1.3%
Jones	20K	R+73.1	907	5,988	6,947	1.3%
Jones	20K	R+73.1	907	5,988	6,947	1.3%
Jones	19K	R+73.1	907	5,988	6,947	1.3%
Eastland	18K	R+77.5	918	7,397	8,364	1.6%
Eastland	18K	R+77.5	918	7,397	8,364	1.6%
Eastland	18K	R+77.5	918	7,397	8,364	1.6%
Eastland	18K	R+77.5	918	7,397	8,364	1.6%
Scurry	17K	R+73.6	734	4,945	5,721	1.1%
Scurry	16K	R+73.6	734	4,945	5,721	1.1%
Scurry	16K	R+73.6	734	4,945	5,721	1.1%
Scurry	16K	R+73.6	734	4,945	5,721	1.1%
Nolan	16K	R+59.2	1,020	4,048	5,115	1.0%
Nolan	15K	R+59.2	1,020	4,048	5,115	1.0%
Nolan	15K	R+59.2	1,020	4,048	5,115	1.0%
Nolan	14K	R+59.2	1,020	4,048	5,115	1.0%
Callahan	14K	R+77.5	761	6,180	6,988	1.4%
Callahan	14K	R+77.5	761	6,180	6,988	1.4%
Callahan	13K	R+77.5	761	6,180	6,988	1.4%
Callahan	13K	R+77.5	761	6,180	6,988	1.4%
Runnels	11K	R+77.1	452	3,580	4,056	0.8%
Runnels	10K	R+77.1	452	3,580	4,056	0.8%
Runnels	10K	R+77.1	452	3,580	4,056	0.8%
Runnels	10K	R+77.1	452	3,580	4,056	0.8%
Stephens	10K	R+79.3	384	3,368	3,761	0.7%
Mitchell	10K	R+71.3	352	2,144	2,513	0.5%
Stephens	10K	R+79.3	384	3,368	3,761	0.7%
Stephens	9K	R+79.3	384	3,368	3,761	0.7%
Stephens	9K	R+79.3	384	3,368	3,761	0.7%
Mitchell	9K	R+71.3	352	2,144	2,513	0.5%
Coleman	9K	R+79.0	428	3,712	4,156	0.8%
Mitchell	9K	R+71.3	352	2,144	2,513	0.5%
Mitchell	9K	R+71.3	352	2,144	2,513	0.5%
Coleman	9K	R+79.0	428	3,712	4,156	0.8%
Coleman	8K	R+79.0	428	3,712	4,156	0.8%
Coleman	8K	R+79.0	428	3,712	4,156	0.8%
Haskell	6K	R+71.4	313	1,918	2,247	0.4%
Haskell	6K	R+71.4	313	1,918	2,247	0.4%
Haskell	5K	R+71.4	313	1,918	2,247	0.4%
Haskell	5K	R+71.4	313	1,918	2,247	0.4%
Fisher	4K	R+63.2	330	1,487	1,830	0.4%
Knox	4K	R+68.5	214	1,156	1,376	0.3%
Fisher	4K	R+63.2	330	1,487	1,830	0.4%
Fisher	4K	R+63.2	330	1,487	1,830	0.4%
Knox	4K	R+68.5	214	1,156	1,376	0.3%
Fisher	4K	R+63.2	330	1,487	1,830	0.4%
Knox	3K	R+68.5	214	1,156	1,376	0.3%
Shackelford	3K	R+82.1	146	1,565	1,728	0.3%
Knox	3K	R+68.5	214	1,156	1,376	0.3%
Shackelford	3K	R+82.1	146	1,565	1,728	0.3%
Shackelford	3K	R+82.1	146	1,565	1,728	0.3%
Shackelford	3K	R+82.1	146	1,565	1,728	0.3%
Throckmorton	2K	R+83.3	73	823	900	0.2%
Stonewall	2K	R+69.0	110	604	716	0.1%
Throckmorton	2K	R+83.3	73	823	900	0.2%
Throckmorton	2K	R+83.3	73	823	900	0.2%
Throckmorton	2K	R+83.3	73	823	900	0.2%
Stonewall	1K	R+69.0	110	604	716	0.1%
Stonewall	1K	R+69.0	110	604	716	0.1%
Stonewall	1K	R+69.0	110	604	716	0.1%

68 countiesTotal votes: 514,752

Historian Query

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Explore Abilene-Sweetwater's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Abilene-Sweetwater media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Abilene-SweetwaterCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 68.5%Hispanic 22.6%Black 5.9%Multiracial 1.5%Asian 1.0%Native American 0.5%

Group	Abilene-Sweetwater	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	68.5%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	22.6%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(11)	5.9%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	1.5%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.0%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

64.8%(208.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -62.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	46.5%	71.9%	—	—
Catholic	9.3%	14.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.5%	10.0%	—	—
Other	1.6%	2.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	1.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.8%	1.2%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	35.3%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Abilene-Sweetwater media market? 1,249,471 residents across 68 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Abilene-Sweetwater vs National1.2M residents

19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.2M

local

1.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.37%

local

0.37%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

35.8%

local

35.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$44,519

local

$44,519National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.3%

local

16.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.3%

local

19.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

68.3%

local

68.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.8 yrs

local

36.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.5%

local

12.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.6%

local

4.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.5%

local

15.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

84.5%

local

84.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Abilene-Sweetwater

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

53.6%

vs Previous

+0.3pp

Eligible Non-Voters

111K · 46.4%

Citizen VAP

240,002

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Abilene-Sweetwater split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (67/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+63.6	R+59.1	4.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 7.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Abilene-Sweetwater sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Texas(State)

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