Safe Republican — shifted 3.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 18.7% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 7.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 35.5% | 63.8% |
| Black Protestant | 8.1% | 14.6% |
| Catholic | 5.3% | 9.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.2% | 7.6% |
| Other | 2.6% | 4.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 44.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+64.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+60.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+60.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+55.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+44.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+42.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+31.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.5 |
1996: Perot 10.4% · 1992: Perot 29.6%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%