Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 36 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 53.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 37.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 2.7% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 27.2% | 46.8% |
| Catholic | 15.9% | 27.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.1% | 15.6% |
| Other | 3.9% | 6.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.2% | 3.8% |
| Black Protestant | 2.1% | 3.7% |
| Non-religious | 41.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+59.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+55.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+52.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+45.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+41.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.3 |
1996: Perot 11.4% · 1992: Perot 24.4%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%