Safe Republican — shifted 8.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 43.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 42.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 11.4% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 35.9% | 48.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.2% | 35.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.7% | 7.7% |
| Black Protestant | 3.5% | 4.7% |
| Other | 2.1% | 2.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 26.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+51.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+43.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+40.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+39.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+31.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+32.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+26.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+8.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.7 |
1996: Perot 7.1% · 1992: Perot 20.5%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%