How did TX-33, Texas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

TX-33, Texas voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+31.6. The Democratic candidate received 95,432 votes and the Republican candidate received 49,035 out of 146,811 total votes cast, a 15.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is TX-33, Texas's political history?

TX-33, Texas has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 15.9 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of TX-33, Texas?

TX-33, Texas has a population of 777,278 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 12.8% non-Hispanic white, 58.3% Hispanic, 18.2% Black. About 24% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $64,457.

Texas's 33rd Congressional District

Texas · Latest: 2024↓ R+8.8 vs 2022

Safe Democratic — 7D, 0R in 7 House elections

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POPULATION
777K
HOUSE MARGIN
D+37.6
2024
PRES MARGIN
D+31.6
2024
LEAN
Safe D
COLLEGE+
24%

Place Story

What defines Texas's 33rd Congressional District

Methodology

Reliably Democratic since 2008
- Safe D
- 5 straight D wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: R+15.9 in 2024
- 2020 → 2024
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 13% non-Hispanic white (-45pp vs national)
- 13% non-Hispanic white (-45pp vs national)
- 58% Hispanic (+39pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 6.0pp behind House
- Divergence 6.0pp in 2024
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

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“How has Texas's 33rd Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

TX-33Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 58.3%Black 18.2%White (Non-Hispanic) 12.8%Asian 8.5%Native American 1.3%Multiracial 0.9%

Group	TX-33	State	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	58.3%	39.7%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(14)	18.2%	12.2%	12.2%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	12.8%	39.1%	57.4%
▶Asian(6)	8.5%	5.6%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	1.3%	0.7%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.1%	—	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	0.9%	2.5%	4.0%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Texas's 33rd Congressional District

District in State Context

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Demographics

Turnout in TX-33

How competitive is TX-33?

Do voters in TX-33 split their tickets?

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