How did Butte-Silver Bow, MT vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Butte-Silver Bow, MT voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+7.0. Kamala D Harris received 9,386 votes and Donald Trump received 8,110 out of 18,226 total votes cast, a 7.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Butte-Silver Bow, MT's political history?

Butte-Silver Bow, MT has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1960. The largest single-election swing was 84.8 points in 1896.

What are the demographics of Butte-Silver Bow, MT?

Butte-Silver Bow, MT has a population of 137,691 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 91.6% non-Hispanic white, 3.7% Hispanic. About 25% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $42,574.

Which places are most similar to Butte-Silver Bow, MT?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Butte-Silver Bow, MT are Plattsburgh, NY, Brattleboro, VT, Bennington, VT. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Butte-Silver Bow, MT

A consolidated city-county where mining heritage shapes a durable Democratic lean

Butte-Silver Bow is a rare blue enclave in rural Montana, its consolidated city-county government and strong union roots producing Democratic margins that have outlasted the party's broader collapse across the state's working-class interior.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 15580

Population138K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

40.4y▲ 1.5

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

24.6%▼ 10.4

White91.6%
Hispanic3.7%
Two or more2.7%
Native2.1%
Asian0.6%
Other0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Butte-Silver Bow, MTBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Plattsburgh, NY, Brattleboro, VT, and Bennington, VT.

8 visible matches

Plattsburgh, NY

Small-town rural republican 2

R+2.1

Similarity score93%

Brattleboro, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+42.3

Similarity score89%

Bennington, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+22.4

Similarity score89%

Marquette, MI

Small-town rural republican 2

D+8.7

Similarity score89%

Keene, NH

Educated rural democratic

D+9.9

Similarity score89%

Pittsfield, MA

Educated rural democratic

D+39.7

Similarity score88%

Greenfield, MA

Educated rural democratic

D+37.6

Similarity score88%

Rutland, VT

Small-town rural republican

D+5.3

Similarity score87%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Butte-Silver Bow, MT

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Silver Bow	36K	D+7.0	9,386	8,110	18,226	25.0%
Silver Bow	35K	D+7.0	9,386	8,110	18,226	25.0%
Silver Bow	35K	D+7.0	9,386	8,110	18,226	25.0%
Silver Bow	33K	D+7.0	9,386	8,110	18,226	25.0%

4 countiesTotal votes: 72,904

Historian Query

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Explore Butte-Silver Bow, MT's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Butte-Silver Bow, MT metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Butte-Silver Bow, MTCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 91.6%Hispanic 3.7%Native American 2.1%Multiracial 1.8%Asian 0.6%

Group	Butte-Silver Bow, MT	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	91.6%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(8)	3.7%	19.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	2.1%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	1.8%	4.0%
▶Asian(2)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(2)	0.2%	12.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

43.0%(15.4K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +54.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	31.2%	72.7%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	5.8%	13.4%	—	—
Other	3.1%	7.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.5%	5.8%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.3%	5.5%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.4%	1.0%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	57.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Butte-Silver Bow, MT metro area? 137,691 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Butte-Silver Bow, MT vs National138K residents

25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

138K

local

138KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.3%

local

39.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$42,574

local

$42,574National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.2%

local

16.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

24.6%

local

24.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

68.5%

local

68.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.4 yrs

local

40.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.7%

local

12.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.4%

local

13.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.0%

local

2.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.7%

local

3.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

96.3%

local

96.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Butte-Silver Bow, MT

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

64.3%

vs Previous

-2.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

10K · 35.7%

Citizen VAP

28,361

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Butte-Silver Bow, MT split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (10/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+7.0	D+30.5	23.5pp
Senate vs Governor	D+30.5	D+11.4	19.1pp
President vs Governor	D+7.0	D+11.4	4.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 15.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Butte-Silver Bow, MT sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Montana(State)

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